Recent forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service point to a Chicago minimum temperature in the mid-to-upper 60s°F on September 15, shaped by southerly winds advecting warm, humid air and widespread cloud cover that suppresses radiational cooling overnight. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, with 60-70% probability in some guidance, further moderate lows by releasing latent heat and sustaining dew points near 65°F. This setup contrasts with climatological September averages near 59°F, as the current pattern favors warmer advection over typical seasonal cooling. Trader consensus across closely matched bins around 66-69°F captures model divergence on exact timing and intensity of any frontal passage or wind shifts near Lake Michigan, with lower-probability tails reflecting residual uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Chicago el 15 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Chicago el 15 de septiembre?
59°F o menos 58%
78°F o más 58%
62-63°F 39%
66-67°F 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 sep 2026
59°F o menos
58%
60-61°F
14%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
22%
66-67°F
28%
68-69 °F
28%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
5%
78°F o más
58%
59°F o menos 58%
78°F o más 58%
62-63°F 39%
66-67°F 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 sep 2026
59°F o menos
$0 Vol.
58%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
14%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
39%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
22%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
28%
68-69 °F
$13 Vol.
28%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
24%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
14%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
13%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
5%
78°F o más
$0 Vol.
58%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service point to a Chicago minimum temperature in the mid-to-upper 60s°F on September 15, shaped by southerly winds advecting warm, humid air and widespread cloud cover that suppresses radiational cooling overnight. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, with 60-70% probability in some guidance, further moderate lows by releasing latent heat and sustaining dew points near 65°F. This setup contrasts with climatological September averages near 59°F, as the current pattern favors warmer advection over typical seasonal cooling. Trader consensus across closely matched bins around 66-69°F captures model divergence on exact timing and intensity of any frontal passage or wind shifts near Lake Michigan, with lower-probability tails reflecting residual uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volumen
$13Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service point to a Chicago minimum temperature in the mid-to-upper 60s°F on September 15, shaped by southerly winds advecting warm, humid air and widespread cloud cover that suppresses radiational cooling overnight. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, with 60-70% probability in some guidance, further moderate lows by releasing latent heat and sustaining dew points near 65°F. This setup contrasts with climatological September averages near 59°F, as the current pattern favors warmer advection over typical seasonal cooling. Trader consensus across closely matched bins around 66-69°F captures model divergence on exact timing and intensity of any frontal passage or wind shifts near Lake Michigan, with lower-probability tails reflecting residual uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$13Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service point to a Chicago minimum temperature in the mid-to-upper 60s°F on September 15, shaped by southerly winds advecting warm, humid air and widespread cloud cover that suppresses radiational cooling overnight. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, with 60-70% probability in some guidance, further moderate lows by releasing latent heat and sustaining dew points near 65°F. This setup contrasts with climatological September averages near 59°F, as the current pattern favors warmer advection over typical seasonal cooling. Trader consensus across closely matched bins around 66-69°F captures model divergence on exact timing and intensity of any frontal passage or wind shifts near Lake Michigan, with lower-probability tails reflecting residual uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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