Forecast consensus from recent model runs and official guidance points to clear, stable high-pressure conditions over Chongqing through September 4, supporting overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies with light winds and low humidity. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 23–25 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 23 °C and 24 °C at roughly 50 % implied probability each. Subtropical humidity and urban heat-island effects in the Sichuan Basin typically moderate nocturnal drops compared with surrounding terrain, while the absence of incoming cold-air advection or widespread cloud cover keeps the distribution narrow. Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact dew-point recovery overnight accounts for the near-even odds between adjacent thresholds; updated CMA or ECMWF guidance ahead of resolution could shift the balance if any low-level moisture or wind shift develops.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Chongqing el 4 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Chongqing el 4 de septiembre?
19°C o menos 100%
20°C 90%
21°C 90%
25°C 89%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
19°C o menos
100%
20°C
90%
21°C
90%
22°C
88%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C
89%
26°C
88%
27°C
88%
28°C
89%
29°C o más
2%
19°C o menos 100%
20°C 90%
21°C 90%
25°C 89%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
19°C o menos
$0 Vol.
100%
20°C
$0 Vol.
90%
21°C
$0 Vol.
90%
22°C
$0 Vol.
88%
23°C
$0 Vol.
50%
24°C
$0 Vol.
50%
25°C
$0 Vol.
89%
26°C
$0 Vol.
88%
27°C
$0 Vol.
88%
28°C
$0 Vol.
89%
29°C o más
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from recent model runs and official guidance points to clear, stable high-pressure conditions over Chongqing through September 4, supporting overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies with light winds and low humidity. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 23–25 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 23 °C and 24 °C at roughly 50 % implied probability each. Subtropical humidity and urban heat-island effects in the Sichuan Basin typically moderate nocturnal drops compared with surrounding terrain, while the absence of incoming cold-air advection or widespread cloud cover keeps the distribution narrow. Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact dew-point recovery overnight accounts for the near-even odds between adjacent thresholds; updated CMA or ECMWF guidance ahead of resolution could shift the balance if any low-level moisture or wind shift develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from recent model runs and official guidance points to clear, stable high-pressure conditions over Chongqing through September 4, supporting overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies with light winds and low humidity. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 23–25 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 23 °C and 24 °C at roughly 50 % implied probability each. Subtropical humidity and urban heat-island effects in the Sichuan Basin typically moderate nocturnal drops compared with surrounding terrain, while the absence of incoming cold-air advection or widespread cloud cover keeps the distribution narrow. Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact dew-point recovery overnight accounts for the near-even odds between adjacent thresholds; updated CMA or ECMWF guidance ahead of resolution could shift the balance if any low-level moisture or wind shift develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from recent model runs and official guidance points to clear, stable high-pressure conditions over Chongqing through September 4, supporting overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies with light winds and low humidity. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 23–25 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 23 °C and 24 °C at roughly 50 % implied probability each. Subtropical humidity and urban heat-island effects in the Sichuan Basin typically moderate nocturnal drops compared with surrounding terrain, while the absence of incoming cold-air advection or widespread cloud cover keeps the distribution narrow. Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact dew-point recovery overnight accounts for the near-even odds between adjacent thresholds; updated CMA or ECMWF guidance ahead of resolution could shift the balance if any low-level moisture or wind shift develops.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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