Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting observational data positioned the minimum temperature at 25°C on June 11 amid typical subtropical summer conditions featuring partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. This aligns with June climatological baselines where overnight lows rarely fall below 24°C without atypical northerly flow, and recent model consensus reinforced the threshold without significant divergence. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this convergence of verified measurements and historical patterns, with the market treating the outcome as resolved based on skin-in-the-game assessment of authoritative sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp cold surge or station-specific anomaly, though atmospheric steering patterns made such shifts highly improbable before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 11 de junio?
25°C 100.0%
21°C o menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,256 Vol.
$57,256 Vol.
21°C o menos
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Sí
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C o superior
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C o menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,256 Vol.
$57,256 Vol.
21°C o menos
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Sí
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C o superior
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting observational data positioned the minimum temperature at 25°C on June 11 amid typical subtropical summer conditions featuring partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. This aligns with June climatological baselines where overnight lows rarely fall below 24°C without atypical northerly flow, and recent model consensus reinforced the threshold without significant divergence. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this convergence of verified measurements and historical patterns, with the market treating the outcome as resolved based on skin-in-the-game assessment of authoritative sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp cold surge or station-specific anomaly, though atmospheric steering patterns made such shifts highly improbable before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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