Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather models converge on a minimum temperature of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and a light northeasterly flow that limits mixing of warmer air. This consensus reflects typical pre-monsoon conditions in the region, where historical May overnight lows often fall between 22–25°C amid subtropical high pressure and moist easterly influences. Traders have priced the 23°C outcome at full implied probability because recent model runs show minimal spread and align closely with observational baselines. A sudden increase in cloud cover or shift to stronger winds could still allow the recorded low to deviate by a degree or two before official confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 17 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 17 de mayo?
23°C 99.6%
18°C o menos <1%
28°C o más <1%
19°C <1%
$28,500 Vol.
$28,500 Vol.
17 may 2026
18°C o menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o más
<1%
23°C 99.6%
18°C o menos <1%
28°C o más <1%
19°C <1%
$28,500 Vol.
$28,500 Vol.
17 may 2026
18°C o menos
$1,271 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,089 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$672 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,816 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,815 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,443 Vol.
100%
24°C
$7,748 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,338 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,117 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$795 Vol.
<1%
28°C o más
$2,396 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather models converge on a minimum temperature of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and a light northeasterly flow that limits mixing of warmer air. This consensus reflects typical pre-monsoon conditions in the region, where historical May overnight lows often fall between 22–25°C amid subtropical high pressure and moist easterly influences. Traders have priced the 23°C outcome at full implied probability because recent model runs show minimal spread and align closely with observational baselines. A sudden increase in cloud cover or shift to stronger winds could still allow the recorded low to deviate by a degree or two before official confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volumen
$28,500Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather models converge on a minimum temperature of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and a light northeasterly flow that limits mixing of warmer air. This consensus reflects typical pre-monsoon conditions in the region, where historical May overnight lows often fall between 22–25°C amid subtropical high pressure and moist easterly influences. Traders have priced the 23°C outcome at full implied probability because recent model runs show minimal spread and align closely with observational baselines. A sudden increase in cloud cover or shift to stronger winds could still allow the recorded low to deviate by a degree or two before official confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$28,500Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETCurrent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather models converge on a minimum temperature of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and a light northeasterly flow that limits mixing of warmer air. This consensus reflects typical pre-monsoon conditions in the region, where historical May overnight lows often fall between 22–25°C amid subtropical high pressure and moist easterly influences. Traders have priced the 23°C outcome at full implied probability because recent model runs show minimal spread and align closely with observational baselines. A sudden increase in cloud cover or shift to stronger winds could still allow the recorded low to deviate by a degree or two before official confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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