Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on September 16 will likely settle near 18–19°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering of implied odds around those values. Persistent northeasterly winds of 5–8 m/s, combined with moderate humidity near 60–70% and variable cloud cover, are limiting radiative cooling after sunset and preventing sharper drops below 17°C. Historical September baselines for the city average 15–18°C minima, but current high-pressure influence and absence of strong cold advection have kept conditions milder. Updated model runs through the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold, with any increase in clear skies or wind lull potentially favoring the lower-priced outcomes near 17°C or below.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 16 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 16 de septiembre?
13°C o menos 93%
23°C o más 91%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
13°C o menos
93%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
21%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C o más
91%
13°C o menos 93%
23°C o más 91%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
13°C o menos
$0 Vol.
93%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
40%
18°C
$0 Vol.
22%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
21%
21°C
$0 Vol.
40%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C o más
$0 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on September 16 will likely settle near 18–19°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering of implied odds around those values. Persistent northeasterly winds of 5–8 m/s, combined with moderate humidity near 60–70% and variable cloud cover, are limiting radiative cooling after sunset and preventing sharper drops below 17°C. Historical September baselines for the city average 15–18°C minima, but current high-pressure influence and absence of strong cold advection have kept conditions milder. Updated model runs through the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold, with any increase in clear skies or wind lull potentially favoring the lower-priced outcomes near 17°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on September 16 will likely settle near 18–19°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering of implied odds around those values. Persistent northeasterly winds of 5–8 m/s, combined with moderate humidity near 60–70% and variable cloud cover, are limiting radiative cooling after sunset and preventing sharper drops below 17°C. Historical September baselines for the city average 15–18°C minima, but current high-pressure influence and absence of strong cold advection have kept conditions milder. Updated model runs through the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold, with any increase in clear skies or wind lull potentially favoring the lower-priced outcomes near 17°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on September 16 will likely settle near 18–19°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering of implied odds around those values. Persistent northeasterly winds of 5–8 m/s, combined with moderate humidity near 60–70% and variable cloud cover, are limiting radiative cooling after sunset and preventing sharper drops below 17°C. Historical September baselines for the city average 15–18°C minima, but current high-pressure influence and absence of strong cold advection have kept conditions milder. Updated model runs through the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold, with any increase in clear skies or wind lull potentially favoring the lower-priced outcomes near 17°C or below.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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