Current forecasts for Manila on September 20 point to a daily minimum near 25–26°C under southwest monsoon flow and scattered thunderstorms, driving the near-even market odds around 26°C and lower thresholds. Persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and rainfall moderate nocturnal radiative cooling, while light winds limit mixing that could produce sharper drops. Historical September minima average 24–26°C, with recent PAGASA readings near 24.7°C, underscoring the narrow range. Model consensus on storm timing and coverage remains the key uncertainty, with fresh agency updates expected to clarify whether clearer intervals allow readings at or below 24°C or keep the low anchored near 26°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 20 de septiembre?
21°C o menos 82%
31°C o más 78%
26°C 50%
24°C 40%
21°C o menos
82%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
40%
25°C
22%
26°C
41%
27°C
21%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C o más
78%
21°C o menos 82%
31°C o más 78%
26°C 50%
24°C 40%
21°C o menos
82%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
40%
25°C
22%
26°C
41%
27°C
21%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C o más
78%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Manila on September 20 point to a daily minimum near 25–26°C under southwest monsoon flow and scattered thunderstorms, driving the near-even market odds around 26°C and lower thresholds. Persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and rainfall moderate nocturnal radiative cooling, while light winds limit mixing that could produce sharper drops. Historical September minima average 24–26°C, with recent PAGASA readings near 24.7°C, underscoring the narrow range. Model consensus on storm timing and coverage remains the key uncertainty, with fresh agency updates expected to clarify whether clearer intervals allow readings at or below 24°C or keep the low anchored near 26°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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