Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Miami's September 9 minimum will likely fall in the upper 70s to low 80s under easterly flow, scattered afternoon convection, and high dew points near 78–80°F that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover from the stalled frontal boundary and Atlantic high create a narrow range of possible overnight lows, with clear periods allowing slightly greater drops while thunderstorm outflow or increased moisture could hold readings higher. Historical September minima average around 77°F, but the active pattern and model spread on boundary-layer mixing explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly across the 78–81°F buckets without strong consensus on outliers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Miami el 9 de septiembre?
80-81°F 50%
78-79°F 49%
71°F o menos 47%
90°F o más 46%
71°F o menos
47%
72-73°F
43%
74-75°F
43%
76-77°F
43%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
50%
82-83°F
44%
84-85°F
43%
86-87°F
43%
88-89°F
43%
90°F o más
46%
80-81°F 50%
78-79°F 49%
71°F o menos 47%
90°F o más 46%
71°F o menos
47%
72-73°F
43%
74-75°F
43%
76-77°F
43%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
50%
82-83°F
44%
84-85°F
43%
86-87°F
43%
88-89°F
43%
90°F o más
46%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Miami's September 9 minimum will likely fall in the upper 70s to low 80s under easterly flow, scattered afternoon convection, and high dew points near 78–80°F that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover from the stalled frontal boundary and Atlantic high create a narrow range of possible overnight lows, with clear periods allowing slightly greater drops while thunderstorm outflow or increased moisture could hold readings higher. Historical September minima average around 77°F, but the active pattern and model spread on boundary-layer mixing explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly across the 78–81°F buckets without strong consensus on outliers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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