Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a low near 17°C for Milan on September 20, driven by building high pressure, clearing skies after Friday rain, and light winds allowing moderate overnight radiative cooling in the Po Valley under a mild early-autumn air mass. Trader sentiment remains closely divided between the 20°C-or-higher bin (40%) and 10°C-or-below (39%) because ensemble spreads still permit cooler outcomes if cloud cover lingers or if steering patterns shift slightly. Specific probabilities cluster around 16–17°C, reflecting the narrow range typical for September nights when dew points hover near 16°C and minimums rarely deviate far from climatological baselines without major synoptic changes. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow these odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Milán el 20 de septiembre?
10°C o menos 71%
20°C o más 70%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
10°C o menos
71%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
20%
15°C
26%
16°C
27%
17°C
29%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C o más
70%
10°C o menos 71%
20°C o más 70%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
10°C o menos
71%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
20%
15°C
26%
16°C
27%
17°C
29%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C o más
70%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a low near 17°C for Milan on September 20, driven by building high pressure, clearing skies after Friday rain, and light winds allowing moderate overnight radiative cooling in the Po Valley under a mild early-autumn air mass. Trader sentiment remains closely divided between the 20°C-or-higher bin (40%) and 10°C-or-below (39%) because ensemble spreads still permit cooler outcomes if cloud cover lingers or if steering patterns shift slightly. Specific probabilities cluster around 16–17°C, reflecting the narrow range typical for September nights when dew points hover near 16°C and minimums rarely deviate far from climatological baselines without major synoptic changes. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow these odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes