Current atmospheric conditions and forecast model consensus from agencies like the National Weather Service point to a mild overnight minimum in New York City on June 14, driven by elevated dew points, light winds, and urban heat retention that limit radiative cooling. This setup favors a low in the 74–75°F range as the most probable outcome, reflected in the 38% market-implied probability, while supporting secondary chances for 68–69°F if clearer skies allow modest additional cooling. Mid-June climatology shows typical lows near 67°F, but recent model runs have trended warmer amid a stable air mass, with resolution hinging on final observational data from Central Park or LaGuardia by midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 14 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 14 de junio?
74-75°F 38%
68-69°F 23%
70-71°F 15%
72-73°F 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 jun 2026
63°F o menos
2%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
38%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F o más
<1%
74-75°F 38%
68-69°F 23%
70-71°F 15%
72-73°F 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 jun 2026
63°F o menos
$1,486 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$1,128 Vol.
3%
66-67°F
$1,471 Vol.
6%
68-69°F
$483 Vol.
23%
70-71°F
$159 Vol.
15%
72-73°F
$211 Vol.
12%
74-75°F
$659 Vol.
38%
76-77°F
$1,391 Vol.
10%
78-79°F
$579 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$976 Vol.
<1%
82°F o más
$775 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions and forecast model consensus from agencies like the National Weather Service point to a mild overnight minimum in New York City on June 14, driven by elevated dew points, light winds, and urban heat retention that limit radiative cooling. This setup favors a low in the 74–75°F range as the most probable outcome, reflected in the 38% market-implied probability, while supporting secondary chances for 68–69°F if clearer skies allow modest additional cooling. Mid-June climatology shows typical lows near 67°F, but recent model runs have trended warmer amid a stable air mass, with resolution hinging on final observational data from Central Park or LaGuardia by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Volumen
$9,053Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions and forecast model consensus from agencies like the National Weather Service point to a mild overnight minimum in New York City on June 14, driven by elevated dew points, light winds, and urban heat retention that limit radiative cooling. This setup favors a low in the 74–75°F range as the most probable outcome, reflected in the 38% market-implied probability, while supporting secondary chances for 68–69°F if clearer skies allow modest additional cooling. Mid-June climatology shows typical lows near 67°F, but recent model runs have trended warmer amid a stable air mass, with resolution hinging on final observational data from Central Park or LaGuardia by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,053Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current atmospheric conditions and forecast model consensus from agencies like the National Weather Service point to a mild overnight minimum in New York City on June 14, driven by elevated dew points, light winds, and urban heat retention that limit radiative cooling. This setup favors a low in the 74–75°F range as the most probable outcome, reflected in the 38% market-implied probability, while supporting secondary chances for 68–69°F if clearer skies allow modest additional cooling. Mid-June climatology shows typical lows near 67°F, but recent model runs have trended warmer amid a stable air mass, with resolution hinging on final observational data from Central Park or LaGuardia by midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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