Recent Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a minimum temperature of 20°C for Paris on August 5, driven by a stable high-pressure regime that has suppressed nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with observational trends showing overnight lows holding near or slightly above seasonal averages amid the broader 2026 warmth anomaly. Official stations such as Paris-Montsouris will determine resolution based on the recorded low. A realistic challenge could arise from localized cloud increases or subtle wind shifts that enhance cooling, though current model consensus assigns low probability to sub-19°C outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 5 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 5 de agosto?
20°C 91%
19°C 7%
18°C 4%
17°C 2%
$16,388 Vol.
$16,388 Vol.
5 ago 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
7%
20°C
91%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 91%
19°C 7%
18°C 4%
17°C 2%
$16,388 Vol.
$16,388 Vol.
5 ago 2026
16°C or below
$1,115 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$324 Vol.
2%
18°C
$823 Vol.
4%
19°C
$3,462 Vol.
7%
20°C
$1,981 Vol.
91%
21°C
$5,034 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,200 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,022 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$659 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$416 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a minimum temperature of 20°C for Paris on August 5, driven by a stable high-pressure regime that has suppressed nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with observational trends showing overnight lows holding near or slightly above seasonal averages amid the broader 2026 warmth anomaly. Official stations such as Paris-Montsouris will determine resolution based on the recorded low. A realistic challenge could arise from localized cloud increases or subtle wind shifts that enhance cooling, though current model consensus assigns low probability to sub-19°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$16,388Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a minimum temperature of 20°C for Paris on August 5, driven by a stable high-pressure regime that has suppressed nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with observational trends showing overnight lows holding near or slightly above seasonal averages amid the broader 2026 warmth anomaly. Official stations such as Paris-Montsouris will determine resolution based on the recorded low. A realistic challenge could arise from localized cloud increases or subtle wind shifts that enhance cooling, though current model consensus assigns low probability to sub-19°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$16,388Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a minimum temperature of 20°C for Paris on August 5, driven by a stable high-pressure regime that has suppressed nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with observational trends showing overnight lows holding near or slightly above seasonal averages amid the broader 2026 warmth anomaly. Official stations such as Paris-Montsouris will determine resolution based on the recorded low. A realistic challenge could arise from localized cloud increases or subtle wind shifts that enhance cooling, though current model consensus assigns low probability to sub-19°C outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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