**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Paris’s lowest temperature on June 14, 2026, has converged sharply on 13°C (99.7% implied probability) because real-time observations and official short-range guidance from agencies such as Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show the overnight minimum stabilizing at that exact value.** Clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge have produced typical early-summer radiative cooling without additional cold-air advection or cloud cover that would alter the low. Historical June climatology for Paris places average overnight minima near 12–14°C, so the current reading sits squarely within the normal envelope. With the market already at near-certainty, the only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution are an unforeseen late-evening temperature drop below the threshold or a post-event quality-control revision by the primary reporting station—both low-probability outcomes given the stability of the current synoptic pattern and the proximity to the end of the calendar day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 14 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 14 de junio?
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,364 Vol.
$12,364 Vol.
14 jun 2026
9°C o menos
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C o más
<1%
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,364 Vol.
$12,364 Vol.
14 jun 2026
9°C o menos
$657 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$957 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,070 Vol.
1%
12°C
$1,380 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,608 Vol.
100%
14°C
$789 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$852 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,232 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$747 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$156 Vol.
<1%
19°C o más
$916 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Paris’s lowest temperature on June 14, 2026, has converged sharply on 13°C (99.7% implied probability) because real-time observations and official short-range guidance from agencies such as Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show the overnight minimum stabilizing at that exact value.**
Clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge have produced typical early-summer radiative cooling without additional cold-air advection or cloud cover that would alter the low. Historical June climatology for Paris places average overnight minima near 12–14°C, so the current reading sits squarely within the normal envelope.
With the market already at near-certainty, the only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution are an unforeseen late-evening temperature drop below the threshold or a post-event quality-control revision by the primary reporting station—both low-probability outcomes given the stability of the current synoptic pattern and the proximity to the end of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$12,364Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Paris’s lowest temperature on June 14, 2026, has converged sharply on 13°C (99.7% implied probability) because real-time observations and official short-range guidance from agencies such as Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show the overnight minimum stabilizing at that exact value.**
Clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge have produced typical early-summer radiative cooling without additional cold-air advection or cloud cover that would alter the low. Historical June climatology for Paris places average overnight minima near 12–14°C, so the current reading sits squarely within the normal envelope.
With the market already at near-certainty, the only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution are an unforeseen late-evening temperature drop below the threshold or a post-event quality-control revision by the primary reporting station—both low-probability outcomes given the stability of the current synoptic pattern and the proximity to the end of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,364Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Paris’s lowest temperature on June 14, 2026, has converged sharply on 13°C (99.7% implied probability) because real-time observations and official short-range guidance from agencies such as Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show the overnight minimum stabilizing at that exact value.** Clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge have produced typical early-summer radiative cooling without additional cold-air advection or cloud cover that would alter the low. Historical June climatology for Paris places average overnight minima near 12–14°C, so the current reading sits squarely within the normal envelope. With the market already at near-certainty, the only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution are an unforeseen late-evening temperature drop below the threshold or a post-event quality-control revision by the primary reporting station—both low-probability outcomes given the stability of the current synoptic pattern and the proximity to the end of the calendar day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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