Official meteorological observations and model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai's overnight low stabilizing at 23°C on September 17 under persistent overcast skies, light northeasterly winds of 2-4 m/s, and moderate humidity near 65 percent that limited radiational cooling. These conditions align closely with historical September baselines for the region and multiple forecast runs projecting a minimum of 22-24°C. The market's near-100 percent implied probability on 23°C reflects traders' assessment of this robust data consensus ahead of final official verification. Only an unexpected late-night clearing or station-specific microclimate deviation could realistically shift the recorded minimum outside this narrow range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 17 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 17 de septiembre?
23°C 100.0%
17°C o menos <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$13,493 Vol.
$13,493 Vol.
17 sep 2026
17°C o menos
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Sí
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C o más
No
23°C 100.0%
17°C o menos <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$13,493 Vol.
$13,493 Vol.
17 sep 2026
17°C o menos
$89 Vol.
No
18°C
$89 Vol.
No
19°C
$96 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,011 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,287 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,699 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,968 Vol.
Sí
24°C
$4,983 Vol.
No
25°C
$93 Vol.
No
26°C
$89 Vol.
No
27°C o más
$89 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai's overnight low stabilizing at 23°C on September 17 under persistent overcast skies, light northeasterly winds of 2-4 m/s, and moderate humidity near 65 percent that limited radiational cooling. These conditions align closely with historical September baselines for the region and multiple forecast runs projecting a minimum of 22-24°C. The market's near-100 percent implied probability on 23°C reflects traders' assessment of this robust data consensus ahead of final official verification. Only an unexpected late-night clearing or station-specific microclimate deviation could realistically shift the recorded minimum outside this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$13,493Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai's overnight low stabilizing at 23°C on September 17 under persistent overcast skies, light northeasterly winds of 2-4 m/s, and moderate humidity near 65 percent that limited radiational cooling. These conditions align closely with historical September baselines for the region and multiple forecast runs projecting a minimum of 22-24°C. The market's near-100 percent implied probability on 23°C reflects traders' assessment of this robust data consensus ahead of final official verification. Only an unexpected late-night clearing or station-specific microclimate deviation could realistically shift the recorded minimum outside this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$13,493Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official meteorological observations and model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai's overnight low stabilizing at 23°C on September 17 under persistent overcast skies, light northeasterly winds of 2-4 m/s, and moderate humidity near 65 percent that limited radiational cooling. These conditions align closely with historical September baselines for the region and multiple forecast runs projecting a minimum of 22-24°C. The market's near-100 percent implied probability on 23°C reflects traders' assessment of this robust data consensus ahead of final official verification. Only an unexpected late-night clearing or station-specific microclimate deviation could realistically shift the recorded minimum outside this narrow range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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