Forecast models from agencies including the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory indicate scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover on September 22 will limit daytime heating and produce a low near 26°C, aligning with the market's leading 27°C (44.5%) and 26°C (25.5%) outcomes. Recent developments show a 2–3°C cooling from prior clear, hot conditions as a weather system increases humidity and precipitation chances, moderating overnight radiative cooling. Historical September minima in Shenzhen average around 24°C, yet current steering patterns and model consensus favor values in the mid-20s rather than deeper drops to 22°C or below. Updated runs ahead of the 24-hour verification window remain the key variable for traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 22 de septiembre?
32°C o más 83%
22°C o menos 81%
27°C 44%
23°C 39%
22°C o menos
81%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
26%
27°C
44%
28°C
39%
29°C
3%
30°C
17%
31°C
13%
32°C o más
83%
32°C o más 83%
22°C o menos 81%
27°C 44%
23°C 39%
22°C o menos
81%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
26%
27°C
44%
28°C
39%
29°C
3%
30°C
17%
31°C
13%
32°C o más
83%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory indicate scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover on September 22 will limit daytime heating and produce a low near 26°C, aligning with the market's leading 27°C (44.5%) and 26°C (25.5%) outcomes. Recent developments show a 2–3°C cooling from prior clear, hot conditions as a weather system increases humidity and precipitation chances, moderating overnight radiative cooling. Historical September minima in Shenzhen average around 24°C, yet current steering patterns and model consensus favor values in the mid-20s rather than deeper drops to 22°C or below. Updated runs ahead of the 24-hour verification window remain the key variable for traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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