Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate the overnight minimum into September 1 will likely fall between 6–9 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate northwest winds, with the daytime high reaching 12–14 °C. This range reflects uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing, and any late southerly wind shift that could import colder maritime air from higher latitudes. Clearer conditions promote greater surface heat loss and lower minima, while increased cloud cover or stronger winds limit cooling. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 8 °C, and the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 6–7 °C versus 12 °C or higher captures ongoing model divergence on exact wind speeds and cloud timing ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Wellington el 1 de septiembre?
12°C or higher 69%
9°C 49%
4°C 44%
2°C or below 41%
2°C or below
41%
3°C
26%
4°C
44%
5°C
25%
6°C
27%
7°C
28%
8°C
26%
9°C
49%
10°C
8%
11°C
8%
12°C or higher
69%
12°C or higher 69%
9°C 49%
4°C 44%
2°C or below 41%
2°C or below
41%
3°C
26%
4°C
44%
5°C
25%
6°C
27%
7°C
28%
8°C
26%
9°C
49%
10°C
8%
11°C
8%
12°C or higher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate the overnight minimum into September 1 will likely fall between 6–9 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate northwest winds, with the daytime high reaching 12–14 °C. This range reflects uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing, and any late southerly wind shift that could import colder maritime air from higher latitudes. Clearer conditions promote greater surface heat loss and lower minima, while increased cloud cover or stronger winds limit cooling. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 8 °C, and the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 6–7 °C versus 12 °C or higher captures ongoing model divergence on exact wind speeds and cloud timing ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes