This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Graham Platner holds a dominant position in the Maine Democratic Senate primary because former Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign on April 30 after months of trailing him in polls and struggling to raise funds. Platner, a Marine veteran and oyster farmer, has consolidated support among party voters through his working-class messaging and endorsements from labor groups, while shifting focus to the general election matchup against Republican Senator Susan Collins. The June 9 primary now features only low-support challengers such as David Costello. Traders assign Platner a 98.3 percent implied probability of winning the nomination, though an unforeseen late scandal or turnout surprise could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Graham Platner holds a dominant position in the Maine Democratic Senate primary because former Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign on April 30 after months of trailing him in polls and struggling to raise funds. Platner, a Marine veteran and oyster farmer, has consolidated support among party voters through his working-class messaging and endorsements from labor groups, while shifting focus to the general election matchup against Republican Senator Susan Collins. The June 9 primary now features only low-support challengers such as David Costello. Traders assign Platner a 98.3 percent implied probability of winning the nomination, though an unforeseen late scandal or turnout surprise could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
May 2 2026
Graham Platner surges to near-certain frontrunner status in Maine Democratic Senate primary
Graham Platner jumps to 99%7%
Market prices surged to nearly 99% for Graham Platner as he became the overwhelming favorite to win the Democratic primary, reflecting broad voter support and the collapse of other candidates' chances, including Janet Mills who dropped to near zero.
Apr 17 2026
Maine legislature passes data center moratorium bill amid community backlash
Janet Mills plunges to 9%15%
Maine lawmakers approved a yearlong moratorium on large data centers, reflecting growing political opposition to tech projects due to concerns about energy use and community impact. Governor Janet Mills, running for Senate, faced this contentious issue, which may have influenced voter perceptions and the primary race.
Feb 27 2026
Maine governor challenges federal immigration enforcement amid rising community fear
Janet Mills drops to 22%12%
Governor Janet Mills publicly demanded warrants and transparency from federal immigration officials amid widespread fear in immigrant communities due to ICE operations. This stance likely affected her support in the Democratic primary, as voters reacted to the immigration enforcement climate.
Jan 23 2026
Platner wins endorsement from Senator Bernie Sanders
Graham Platner surges to 99%33%
Senator Sanders publicly endorsed Platner, cementing his anti‑establishment credentials and driving his price close to certainty.
Jan 15 2026
Department of Homeland Security launches immigration enforcement operation in Maine
Janet Mills dips to 33%3%
The DHS initiated 'Operation Catch of the Day' targeting criminal illegal migrants in Maine, leading to increased immigration enforcement activity. Governor Janet Mills publicly criticized the operation, highlighting tensions that may have influenced voter sentiment and the Senate primary dynamics.
Dec 30 2025
Maine Governor Mills declines to sign data‑center moratorium
Graham Platner surges to 92%34%
Mills’ decision not to sign the moratorium signaled a split with the legislature, further isolating her and boosting Platner’s momentum.
Dec 18 2025
Maine Democratic Party removes Mills from primary ballot
Janet Mills plunges to 0%36%
Following her withdrawal, the state party officially struck Mills’ name from the ballot, effectively ending her campaign and solidifying Platner’s lead.
Dec 7 2025
Maine Democratic Party releases fundraising report showing Platner outpacing Mills
Graham Platner surges to 78%17%
A state‑party filing revealed Platner had raised significantly more money than Mills, confirming his growing viability and pushing his market price higher.
Nov 25 2025
Janet Mills announces she will not seek re‑election as governor
Janet Mills plunges to 9%21%
Mills confirmed she would not run for a third term as governor, removing any fallback option and further eroding her political base in the Senate race.
Nov 14 2025
Janet Mills withdraws from Maine Senate race, citing fundraising challenges
Graham Platner jumps to 64%5%
Janet Mills, the Democratic governor of Maine and party establishment favorite, announced her withdrawal from the U.S. Senate race after failing to generate sufficient fundraising and enthusiasm to compete against Graham Platner, an oyster farmer and political newcomer. This marked a major upset and shifted market confidence heavily towards Platner.
Nov 13 2025
Schumer’s recruitment of Platner criticized by moderate Democrats
Graham Platner surges to 72%27%
Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer’s backing of Platner drew backlash from moderate Democrats, reinforcing the narrative of an anti‑establishment wave and further rallying grassroots support for Platner.
Oct 22 2025
Maine Legislature passes data‑center moratorium bill
Graham Platner jumps to 64%11%
The Democratic‑controlled Legislature approved a year‑long freeze on large data‑center projects, sending the bill to Gov. Mills. The controversy over tech development highlighted local economic concerns and boosted Platner’s outsider appeal.
Oct 14 2025
Jared Golden ends Senate campaign
Jared Golden drops to 0%11%
Golden withdrew from the race, causing his price to fall to zero.
Oct 12 2025
Troy Jackson exits Maine Senate primary
Troy Jackson dips to 0%3%
Jackson announced his withdrawal, pushing his market price to zero.
Oct 10 2025
Jordan Wood suspends Senate campaign
Jordan Wood plunges to 0%19%
Wood withdrew, eliminating his share of the race and driving his price to zero.
Oct 8 2025
Chellie Pingree ends Senate bid
Chellie Pingree dips to 0%3%
Pingree formally ended her campaign, sending her price to zero.
Oct 5 2025
Dan Kleban drops out of Senate primary
Dan Kleban plunges to 0%15%
Kleban announced he would not continue his campaign, causing his market price to collapse to zero.
Oct 3 2025
Gov. Janet Mills withdraws from Maine Democratic Senate primary, endorses Graham Platner
Graham Platner jumps to 59%14%
Mills announced she could not raise sufficient funds and withdrew, effectively clearing the field for Platner and causing his support to surge as voters coalesced around the anti‑establishment candidate.
Oct 3 2025
Gov. Janet Mills abandons Senate campaign, endorses Graham Platner
Graham Platner surges to 60%18%
Maine’s two‑term Democratic governor announced she could not raise enough funds and withdrew, throwing her support behind oyster farmer Graham Platner. The move eliminated the establishment favorite and sent Platner’s market price sharply upward.
Sep 20 2025
Early poll shows Platner leading primary field
Graham Platner jumps to 42%8%
A regional poll released by a local news outlet placed Platner ahead of Mills and other candidates, prompting early price gains for Platner and declines for the rest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Graham Platner holds a dominant position in the Maine Democratic Senate primary because former Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign on April 30 after months of trailing him in polls and struggling to raise funds. Platner, a Marine veteran and oyster farmer, has consolidated support among party voters through his working-class messaging and endorsements from labor groups, while shifting focus to the general election matchup against Republican Senator Susan Collins. The June 9 primary now features only low-support challengers such as David Costello. Traders assign Platner a 98.3 percent implied probability of winning the nomination, though an unforeseen late scandal or turnout surprise could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Graham Platner holds a dominant position in the Maine Democratic Senate primary because former Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign on April 30 after months of trailing him in polls and struggling to raise funds. Platner, a Marine veteran and oyster farmer, has consolidated support among party voters through his working-class messaging and endorsements from labor groups, while shifting focus to the general election matchup against Republican Senator Susan Collins. The June 9 primary now features only low-support challengers such as David Costello. Traders assign Platner a 98.3 percent implied probability of winning the nomination, though an unforeseen late scandal or turnout surprise could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
May 2 2026
Graham Platner surges to near-certain frontrunner status in Maine Democratic Senate primary
Graham Platner jumps to 99%7%
Market prices surged to nearly 99% for Graham Platner as he became the overwhelming favorite to win the Democratic primary, reflecting broad voter support and the collapse of other candidates' chances, including Janet Mills who dropped to near zero.
Apr 17 2026
Maine legislature passes data center moratorium bill amid community backlash
Janet Mills plunges to 9%15%
Maine lawmakers approved a yearlong moratorium on large data centers, reflecting growing political opposition to tech projects due to concerns about energy use and community impact. Governor Janet Mills, running for Senate, faced this contentious issue, which may have influenced voter perceptions and the primary race.
Feb 27 2026
Maine governor challenges federal immigration enforcement amid rising community fear
Janet Mills drops to 22%12%
Governor Janet Mills publicly demanded warrants and transparency from federal immigration officials amid widespread fear in immigrant communities due to ICE operations. This stance likely affected her support in the Democratic primary, as voters reacted to the immigration enforcement climate.
Jan 23 2026
Platner wins endorsement from Senator Bernie Sanders
Graham Platner surges to 99%33%
Senator Sanders publicly endorsed Platner, cementing his anti‑establishment credentials and driving his price close to certainty.
Jan 15 2026
Department of Homeland Security launches immigration enforcement operation in Maine
Janet Mills dips to 33%3%
The DHS initiated 'Operation Catch of the Day' targeting criminal illegal migrants in Maine, leading to increased immigration enforcement activity. Governor Janet Mills publicly criticized the operation, highlighting tensions that may have influenced voter sentiment and the Senate primary dynamics.
Dec 30 2025
Maine Governor Mills declines to sign data‑center moratorium
Graham Platner surges to 92%34%
Mills’ decision not to sign the moratorium signaled a split with the legislature, further isolating her and boosting Platner’s momentum.
Dec 18 2025
Maine Democratic Party removes Mills from primary ballot
Janet Mills plunges to 0%36%
Following her withdrawal, the state party officially struck Mills’ name from the ballot, effectively ending her campaign and solidifying Platner’s lead.
Dec 7 2025
Maine Democratic Party releases fundraising report showing Platner outpacing Mills
Graham Platner surges to 78%17%
A state‑party filing revealed Platner had raised significantly more money than Mills, confirming his growing viability and pushing his market price higher.
Nov 25 2025
Janet Mills announces she will not seek re‑election as governor
Janet Mills plunges to 9%21%
Mills confirmed she would not run for a third term as governor, removing any fallback option and further eroding her political base in the Senate race.
Nov 14 2025
Janet Mills withdraws from Maine Senate race, citing fundraising challenges
Graham Platner jumps to 64%5%
Janet Mills, the Democratic governor of Maine and party establishment favorite, announced her withdrawal from the U.S. Senate race after failing to generate sufficient fundraising and enthusiasm to compete against Graham Platner, an oyster farmer and political newcomer. This marked a major upset and shifted market confidence heavily towards Platner.
Nov 13 2025
Schumer’s recruitment of Platner criticized by moderate Democrats
Graham Platner surges to 72%27%
Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer’s backing of Platner drew backlash from moderate Democrats, reinforcing the narrative of an anti‑establishment wave and further rallying grassroots support for Platner.
Oct 22 2025
Maine Legislature passes data‑center moratorium bill
Graham Platner jumps to 64%11%
The Democratic‑controlled Legislature approved a year‑long freeze on large data‑center projects, sending the bill to Gov. Mills. The controversy over tech development highlighted local economic concerns and boosted Platner’s outsider appeal.
Oct 14 2025
Jared Golden ends Senate campaign
Jared Golden drops to 0%11%
Golden withdrew from the race, causing his price to fall to zero.
Oct 12 2025
Troy Jackson exits Maine Senate primary
Troy Jackson dips to 0%3%
Jackson announced his withdrawal, pushing his market price to zero.
Oct 10 2025
Jordan Wood suspends Senate campaign
Jordan Wood plunges to 0%19%
Wood withdrew, eliminating his share of the race and driving his price to zero.
Oct 8 2025
Chellie Pingree ends Senate bid
Chellie Pingree dips to 0%3%
Pingree formally ended her campaign, sending her price to zero.
Oct 5 2025
Dan Kleban drops out of Senate primary
Dan Kleban plunges to 0%15%
Kleban announced he would not continue his campaign, causing his market price to collapse to zero.
Oct 3 2025
Gov. Janet Mills withdraws from Maine Democratic Senate primary, endorses Graham Platner
Graham Platner jumps to 59%14%
Mills announced she could not raise sufficient funds and withdrew, effectively clearing the field for Platner and causing his support to surge as voters coalesced around the anti‑establishment candidate.
Oct 3 2025
Gov. Janet Mills abandons Senate campaign, endorses Graham Platner
Graham Platner surges to 60%18%
Maine’s two‑term Democratic governor announced she could not raise enough funds and withdrew, throwing her support behind oyster farmer Graham Platner. The move eliminated the establishment favorite and sent Platner’s market price sharply upward.
Sep 20 2025
Early poll shows Platner leading primary field
Graham Platner jumps to 42%8%
A regional poll released by a local news outlet placed Platner ahead of Mills and other candidates, prompting early price gains for Platner and declines for the rest.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Título del ítem del grupo: Graham Platner" con 98%, seguido de "Janet Mills" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 98¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.
A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine" ha generado $3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Sep 15, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.
El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine" es "Título del ítem del grupo: Graham Platner" con 98%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Janet Mills" con 1%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.
Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como rastreador en vivo para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine". Las probabilidades de los resultados se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que entran nuevas operaciones. Puedes guardar esta página en marcadores y consultar la sección de comentarios para ver lo que dicen otros operadores. También puedes usar los filtros de rango temporal en el gráfico para ver cómo han cambiado las probabilidades a lo largo del tiempo.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que ponen dinero real detrás de sus creencias, lo que tiende a generar predicciones precisas. Con $3 million operados en “Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine”, estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de miles de participantes — a menudo superando a encuestas, pronósticos de expertos y estudios tradicionales. Los mercados de predicción como Polymarket tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente cuando los eventos se acercan a su fecha de resolución. Por ejemplo, Polymarket tiene una puntuación de precisión a un mes de 94%. Para las últimas estadísticas sobre la precisión de predicción de Polymarket, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y deposita fondos usando criptomonedas, tarjeta de crédito o débito, o transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta tenga fondos, vuelve a esta página, selecciona el resultado en el que quieras operar, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada resultado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 98¢ para "Título del ítem del grupo: Graham Platner" en el mercado "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine" significa que los operadores colectivamente creen que hay aproximadamente una probabilidad de 98% de que "Título del ítem del grupo: Graham Platner" sea el resultado correcto. Si compras acciones de "Sí" a 98¢ y el resultado es correcto, recibes $1,00 por acción, una ganancia de 2¢ por acción. Si es incorrecto, esas acciones valen $0.
El mercado "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine" está programado para resolverse en o alrededor del Jun 9, 2026. Esto significa que el trading permanecerá abierto y las probabilidades seguirán cambiando hasta esa fecha. El momento exacto de resolución depende de cuándo esté disponible el resultado oficial, como se describe en la sección "Reglas".
El mercado "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine" tiene una comunidad activa de 38 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten resultados y discuten los últimos desarrollos. Desplázate hacia abajo a la sección de comentarios para leer lo que piensan otros participantes. También puedes filtrar por "Principales poseedores" o consultar la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de operaciones.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y beneficiarte de tu conocimiento sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados de temas que van desde política y elecciones hasta criptomonedas, finanzas, deportes, tecnología y cultura, incluyendo mercados como "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine". Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real respaldadas por convicción financiera, ofreciendo a menudo señales más rápidas y precisas que las encuestas, los expertos o los estudios tradicionales.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes