Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District has shifted into solidly Democratic territory over recent cycles, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and Kamala Harris's 21-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison, who captured 58 percent in her 2024 debut, benefits from established fundraising, name recognition, and the absence of any high-profile Republican challenger as primaries approach on August 11. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with trader consensus assigning the party a 91.5 percent implied probability. A credible GOP nominee could narrow the gap if suburban turnout weakens or national conditions shift sharply before November 3, though structural barriers remain substantial absent unexpected developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes MN-03
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes MN-03
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
92%
Partido Republicano
7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$5,309 Vol.
92%
Partido Republicano
$3,893 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District has shifted into solidly Democratic territory over recent cycles, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and Kamala Harris's 21-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison, who captured 58 percent in her 2024 debut, benefits from established fundraising, name recognition, and the absence of any high-profile Republican challenger as primaries approach on August 11. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with trader consensus assigning the party a 91.5 percent implied probability. A credible GOP nominee could narrow the gap if suburban turnout weakens or national conditions shift sharply before November 3, though structural barriers remain substantial absent unexpected developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$9,202Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District has shifted into solidly Democratic territory over recent cycles, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and Kamala Harris's 21-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison, who captured 58 percent in her 2024 debut, benefits from established fundraising, name recognition, and the absence of any high-profile Republican challenger as primaries approach on August 11. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with trader consensus assigning the party a 91.5 percent implied probability. A credible GOP nominee could narrow the gap if suburban turnout weakens or national conditions shift sharply before November 3, though structural barriers remain substantial absent unexpected developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$9,202Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District has shifted into solidly Democratic territory over recent cycles, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and Kamala Harris's 21-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison, who captured 58 percent in her 2024 debut, benefits from established fundraising, name recognition, and the absence of any high-profile Republican challenger as primaries approach on August 11. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with trader consensus assigning the party a 91.5 percent implied probability. A credible GOP nominee could narrow the gap if suburban turnout weakens or national conditions shift sharply before November 3, though structural barriers remain substantial absent unexpected developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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