Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat, with its large majority-Black population and historical voting patterns driving the 89% implied probability for the Democratic nominee to win the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination in the March 10 primary by defeating two challengers, preserving party continuity and institutional support. On the Republican side, Ron Eller narrowly won his party's primary the same day and will face Thompson and an independent candidate in the fall. The district's partisan voting index and consistent past margins continue to anchor trader expectations around Democratic control, with limited recent developments capable of altering the outlook before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMS-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MS-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$22,115 Vol.
$22,115 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
89%
Partido Republicano
12%
$22,115 Vol.
$22,115 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$11,650 Vol.
89%
Partido Republicano
$10,466 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat, with its large majority-Black population and historical voting patterns driving the 89% implied probability for the Democratic nominee to win the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination in the March 10 primary by defeating two challengers, preserving party continuity and institutional support. On the Republican side, Ron Eller narrowly won his party's primary the same day and will face Thompson and an independent candidate in the fall. The district's partisan voting index and consistent past margins continue to anchor trader expectations around Democratic control, with limited recent developments capable of altering the outlook before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$22,115Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat, with its large majority-Black population and historical voting patterns driving the 89% implied probability for the Democratic nominee to win the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination in the March 10 primary by defeating two challengers, preserving party continuity and institutional support. On the Republican side, Ron Eller narrowly won his party's primary the same day and will face Thompson and an independent candidate in the fall. The district's partisan voting index and consistent past margins continue to anchor trader expectations around Democratic control, with limited recent developments capable of altering the outlook before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$22,115Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat, with its large majority-Black population and historical voting patterns driving the 89% implied probability for the Democratic nominee to win the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination in the March 10 primary by defeating two challengers, preserving party continuity and institutional support. On the Republican side, Ron Eller narrowly won his party's primary the same day and will face Thompson and an independent candidate in the fall. The district's partisan voting index and consistent past margins continue to anchor trader expectations around Democratic control, with limited recent developments capable of altering the outlook before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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