Incumbent Democratic Sen. Cory Booker's commanding position in solidly blue New Jersey drives trader consensus to 94.5% for a Democratic winner in the November general election, bolstered by his unopposed June 2 primary path, $22 million cash-on-hand advantage, and historical dominance—winning 57% in 2020 amid the state's D+4 partisan lean. The fragmented Republican primary field, featuring low-funded challengers like physician Robert Lebovics, ex-deputy mayor Justin Murphy, state trooper Richard Tabor, and former reporter Alex Zdan, lacks competitive polling or endorsements to mount a threat. While no major developments have shifted odds in recent weeks, a post-primary GOP consolidation, Booker scandal, health event, or national red wave could challenge this outlook ahead of early voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Nueva Jersey
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Nueva Jersey
$17,824 Vol.
$17,824 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
95%
Republicano
5%
$17,824 Vol.
$17,824 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$8,905 Vol.
95%
Republicano
$8,920 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Cory Booker's commanding position in solidly blue New Jersey drives trader consensus to 94.5% for a Democratic winner in the November general election, bolstered by his unopposed June 2 primary path, $22 million cash-on-hand advantage, and historical dominance—winning 57% in 2020 amid the state's D+4 partisan lean. The fragmented Republican primary field, featuring low-funded challengers like physician Robert Lebovics, ex-deputy mayor Justin Murphy, state trooper Richard Tabor, and former reporter Alex Zdan, lacks competitive polling or endorsements to mount a threat. While no major developments have shifted odds in recent weeks, a post-primary GOP consolidation, Booker scandal, health event, or national red wave could challenge this outlook ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volumen
$17,824Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Cory Booker's commanding position in solidly blue New Jersey drives trader consensus to 94.5% for a Democratic winner in the November general election, bolstered by his unopposed June 2 primary path, $22 million cash-on-hand advantage, and historical dominance—winning 57% in 2020 amid the state's D+4 partisan lean. The fragmented Republican primary field, featuring low-funded challengers like physician Robert Lebovics, ex-deputy mayor Justin Murphy, state trooper Richard Tabor, and former reporter Alex Zdan, lacks competitive polling or endorsements to mount a threat. While no major developments have shifted odds in recent weeks, a post-primary GOP consolidation, Booker scandal, health event, or national red wave could challenge this outlook ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$17,824Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Cory Booker's commanding position in solidly blue New Jersey drives trader consensus to 94.5% for a Democratic winner in the November general election, bolstered by his unopposed June 2 primary path, $22 million cash-on-hand advantage, and historical dominance—winning 57% in 2020 amid the state's D+4 partisan lean. The fragmented Republican primary field, featuring low-funded challengers like physician Robert Lebovics, ex-deputy mayor Justin Murphy, state trooper Richard Tabor, and former reporter Alex Zdan, lacks competitive polling or endorsements to mount a threat. While no major developments have shifted odds in recent weeks, a post-primary GOP consolidation, Booker scandal, health event, or national red wave could challenge this outlook ahead of early voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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