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Elecciones·Elecciones Globales

Nuevo ganador de las elecciones de alcalde de Taipéi

icon for Nuevo ganador de las elecciones de alcalde de Taipéi
Elecciones·Elecciones Globales

Nuevo ganador de las elecciones de alcalde de Taipéi

Lee Shu-chuan 78%

Su Chiao-hui 18%

Huang Kuo-chang <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Lee Shu-chuan 78%

Su Chiao-hui 18%

Huang Kuo-chang <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Lee Shu-chuan

Lee Shu-chuan

$1,266 Vol.

78%

icon for Su Chiao-hui

Su Chiao-hui

$829 Vol.

18%

icon for Huang Kuo-chang

Huang Kuo-chang

$608 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lee Shu-chuan, the Kuomintang nominee backed by a KMT-Taiwan People’s Party alliance, leads the New Taipei mayoral race after defeating TPP Chairman Huang Kuo-chang in an April 2026 coordination poll that cleared the path for a unified opposition ticket. Market pricing reflects this consolidation, with traders assigning Lee a dominant implied probability ahead of Democratic Progressive Party nominee Su Chiao-hui. Su’s selection by the DPP formalized the main contest, yet subsequent surveys have shown Lee maintaining double-digit leads. The November 28, 2026, local election date anchors the timeline, while the absence of major new developments since the spring alliance formation has kept sentiment stable around the frontrunner. Other listed candidates remain low-probability outcomes under current coalition dynamics.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$2,704
Fecha de finalización
28 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lee Shu-chuan, the Kuomintang nominee backed by a KMT-Taiwan People’s Party alliance, leads the New Taipei mayoral race after defeating TPP Chairman Huang Kuo-chang in an April 2026 coordination poll that cleared the path for a unified opposition ticket. Market pricing reflects this consolidation, with traders assigning Lee a dominant implied probability ahead of Democratic Progressive Party nominee Su Chiao-hui. Su’s selection by the DPP formalized the main contest, yet subsequent surveys have shown Lee maintaining double-digit leads. The November 28, 2026, local election date anchors the timeline, while the absence of major new developments since the spring alliance formation has kept sentiment stable around the frontrunner. Other listed candidates remain low-probability outcomes under current coalition dynamics.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$2,704
Fecha de finalización
28 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Nuevo ganador de las elecciones de alcalde de Taipéi" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Lee Shu-chuan" con 78%, seguido de "Su Chiao-hui" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 78¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 78% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Nuevo ganador de las elecciones de alcalde de Taipéi" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 14, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Nuevo ganador de las elecciones de alcalde de Taipéi", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Nuevo ganador de las elecciones de alcalde de Taipéi" es "Lee Shu-chuan" con 78%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 78% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Su Chiao-hui" con 18%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Nuevo ganador de las elecciones de alcalde de Taipéi" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.