Oregon's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent results in prior cycles, which underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the party's nomination with nearly 90% in the May 2026 primary, facing Republican Loran Ayles in the November general election. Historical turnout patterns in the Portland-centered district, combined with limited Republican infrastructure there, have kept the seat out of competitive range. While an unforeseen scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, current indicators point to limited pathways for an upset before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOR-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
OR-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$14,621 Vol.
$14,621 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Dem�crata
95%
Partido Republicano
5%
$14,621 Vol.
$14,621 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Dem�crata
$4,633 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$9,987 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent results in prior cycles, which underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the party's nomination with nearly 90% in the May 2026 primary, facing Republican Loran Ayles in the November general election. Historical turnout patterns in the Portland-centered district, combined with limited Republican infrastructure there, have kept the seat out of competitive range. While an unforeseen scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, current indicators point to limited pathways for an upset before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$14,621Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent results in prior cycles, which underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the party's nomination with nearly 90% in the May 2026 primary, facing Republican Loran Ayles in the November general election. Historical turnout patterns in the Portland-centered district, combined with limited Republican infrastructure there, have kept the seat out of competitive range. While an unforeseen scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, current indicators point to limited pathways for an upset before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$14,621Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent results in prior cycles, which underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the party's nomination with nearly 90% in the May 2026 primary, facing Republican Loran Ayles in the November general election. Historical turnout patterns in the Portland-centered district, combined with limited Republican infrastructure there, have kept the seat out of competitive range. While an unforeseen scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, current indicators point to limited pathways for an upset before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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