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icon for ¿Pedro Sánchez fuera como PM de España por...?

¿Pedro Sánchez fuera como PM de España por...?

icon for ¿Pedro Sánchez fuera como PM de España por...?

¿Pedro Sánchez fuera como PM de España por...?

$575,804 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$575,804 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de diciembre de 2026

$189,978 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Pedro Sánchez remains Spain’s prime minister in a minority coalition that lost its working majority after Junts withdrew support in late 2025, forcing repeated rollovers of the 2023 budget and rejection of later spending plans.** Multiple corruption cases have implicated close PSOE figures, including former ministers sentenced in mid-2026, alongside investigations touching family members and party financing. The most immediate pressure stems from the July 2026 Ceuta migrant surge from Morocco, which triggered criticism over response timing, intelligence handling, and ongoing humanitarian and security fallout still dominating September headlines. Sánchez has rejected opposition calls for resignation or a confidence vote and stated his intent to reach the August 2027 election deadline, though analysts note that further coalition erosion, budget failures, or sustained public backlash could prompt an earlier dissolution. Polls show PSOE competitive but facing a broader rightward shift.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$575,804
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Pedro Sánchez remains Spain’s prime minister in a minority coalition that lost its working majority after Junts withdrew support in late 2025, forcing repeated rollovers of the 2023 budget and rejection of later spending plans.** Multiple corruption cases have implicated close PSOE figures, including former ministers sentenced in mid-2026, alongside investigations touching family members and party financing. The most immediate pressure stems from the July 2026 Ceuta migrant surge from Morocco, which triggered criticism over response timing, intelligence handling, and ongoing humanitarian and security fallout still dominating September headlines. Sánchez has rejected opposition calls for resignation or a confidence vote and stated his intent to reach the August 2027 election deadline, though analysts note that further coalition erosion, budget failures, or sustained public backlash could prompt an earlier dissolution. Polls show PSOE competitive but facing a broader rightward shift.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$575,804
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Pedro Sánchez fuera como PM de España por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre de 2026" con 15%, seguido de "30 de junio de 2026" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 15¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 15% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Pedro Sánchez fuera como PM de España por...?" ha generado $575.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 2, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Pedro Sánchez fuera como PM de España por...?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Pedro Sánchez fuera como PM de España por...?" es "31 de diciembre de 2026" con 15%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 15% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de junio de 2026" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Pedro Sánchez fuera como PM de España por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.