Lindsey Graham’s death on July 11, 2026, one month after he secured the Republican nomination in the regular June 9 primary, has triggered a special primary set for mid-August under South Carolina law. This sudden vacancy has produced a crowded field with no established frontrunner, as multiple sitting and former members of Congress, statewide officials, and prior candidates weigh bids. Trader consensus remains tightly clustered because filing deadlines are imminent, name recognition and fundraising capacity are still fluid, and no major endorsements or polling have yet consolidated support behind any single contender. Developments that could shift probabilities include formal announcements from high-profile figures such as Nancy Mace or Mark Lynch, early polling releases, or alignment by party leaders that narrows the field before the August vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRussell Fry 68%
Ralph Norman 23%
Pamela Evette 5.1%
Darline Graham Nordone 5%
$38,494 Vol.
$38,494 Vol.
Russell Fry
68%
Ralph Norman
23%
Pamela Evette
5%
Darline Graham Nordone
5%
Mark Lynch
<1%
Joe Wilson
<1%
André Bauer
<1%
Trey Gowdy
<1%
Paul Dans
<1%
Sheri Biggs
<1%
Nancy Mace
<1%
William Timmons
<1%
Alan Wilson
<1%
Scott Bessent
<1%
Russell Fry 68%
Ralph Norman 23%
Pamela Evette 5.1%
Darline Graham Nordone 5%
$38,494 Vol.
$38,494 Vol.
Russell Fry
68%
Ralph Norman
23%
Pamela Evette
5%
Darline Graham Nordone
5%
Mark Lynch
<1%
Joe Wilson
<1%
André Bauer
<1%
Trey Gowdy
<1%
Paul Dans
<1%
Sheri Biggs
<1%
Nancy Mace
<1%
William Timmons
<1%
Alan Wilson
<1%
Scott Bessent
<1%
If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election.
If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Jul 12, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election.
If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Lindsey Graham’s death on July 11, 2026, one month after he secured the Republican nomination in the regular June 9 primary, has triggered a special primary set for mid-August under South Carolina law. This sudden vacancy has produced a crowded field with no established frontrunner, as multiple sitting and former members of Congress, statewide officials, and prior candidates weigh bids. Trader consensus remains tightly clustered because filing deadlines are imminent, name recognition and fundraising capacity are still fluid, and no major endorsements or polling have yet consolidated support behind any single contender. Developments that could shift probabilities include formal announcements from high-profile figures such as Nancy Mace or Mark Lynch, early polling releases, or alignment by party leaders that narrows the field before the August vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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