Texas's entrenched Republican lean in federal contests, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1988, anchors the slim trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. The May 26 Republican primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains tight in recent surveys, including a University of Houston poll showing Paxton ahead by three points, while general-election matchups indicate Democratic state Representative James Talarico leading both by margins of three to eight points. Heavy negative advertising and uneven turnout patterns among Republican voters have kept the race competitive heading into the final primary stretch, with the runoff outcome expected to shape assessments of November prospects against the Democratic nominee.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas
$203,396 Vol.
$203,396 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
56%
Demócrata
46%
$203,396 Vol.
$203,396 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$111,902 Vol.
56%
Demócrata
$91,494 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Texas's entrenched Republican lean in federal contests, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1988, anchors the slim trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. The May 26 Republican primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains tight in recent surveys, including a University of Houston poll showing Paxton ahead by three points, while general-election matchups indicate Democratic state Representative James Talarico leading both by margins of three to eight points. Heavy negative advertising and uneven turnout patterns among Republican voters have kept the race competitive heading into the final primary stretch, with the runoff outcome expected to shape assessments of November prospects against the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Volumen
$203,396Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Texas's entrenched Republican lean in federal contests, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1988, anchors the slim trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. The May 26 Republican primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains tight in recent surveys, including a University of Houston poll showing Paxton ahead by three points, while general-election matchups indicate Democratic state Representative James Talarico leading both by margins of three to eight points. Heavy negative advertising and uneven turnout patterns among Republican voters have kept the race competitive heading into the final primary stretch, with the runoff outcome expected to shape assessments of November prospects against the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$203,396Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's entrenched Republican lean in federal contests, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1988, anchors the slim trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. The May 26 Republican primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains tight in recent surveys, including a University of Houston poll showing Paxton ahead by three points, while general-election matchups indicate Democratic state Representative James Talarico leading both by margins of three to eight points. Heavy negative advertising and uneven turnout patterns among Republican voters have kept the race competitive heading into the final primary stretch, with the runoff outcome expected to shape assessments of November prospects against the Democratic nominee.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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