Recent polls from July and early August 2026 show Democratic state Representative James Talarico holding narrow leads or ties over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the Texas U.S. Senate race, including margins of 2–5 points in surveys from Texas Southern University, Texas Public Opinion Research, and others. Paxton secured the GOP nomination after defeating incumbent Senator John Cornyn in the May runoff with Donald Trump’s backing, yet his support among Republicans has lagged in some sampling while Talarico consolidates Democratic voters and performs strongly with independents and moderates. Personal legal and family matters surrounding Paxton have limited Republican consolidation. With the November general election still months away, further polling shifts, campaign spending patterns, or turnout efforts in key demographics could widen or close the gap reflected in current trader pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas
$755,751 Vol.
$755,751 Vol.
3 nov 2026
James Talarico (D)
52%
Ken Paxton (R)
48%
$755,751 Vol.
$755,751 Vol.
3 nov 2026
James Talarico (D)
$362,158 Vol.
52%
Ken Paxton (R)
$393,593 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls from July and early August 2026 show Democratic state Representative James Talarico holding narrow leads or ties over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the Texas U.S. Senate race, including margins of 2–5 points in surveys from Texas Southern University, Texas Public Opinion Research, and others. Paxton secured the GOP nomination after defeating incumbent Senator John Cornyn in the May runoff with Donald Trump’s backing, yet his support among Republicans has lagged in some sampling while Talarico consolidates Democratic voters and performs strongly with independents and moderates. Personal legal and family matters surrounding Paxton have limited Republican consolidation. With the November general election still months away, further polling shifts, campaign spending patterns, or turnout efforts in key demographics could widen or close the gap reflected in current trader pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Volumen
$755,751Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls from July and early August 2026 show Democratic state Representative James Talarico holding narrow leads or ties over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the Texas U.S. Senate race, including margins of 2–5 points in surveys from Texas Southern University, Texas Public Opinion Research, and others. Paxton secured the GOP nomination after defeating incumbent Senator John Cornyn in the May runoff with Donald Trump’s backing, yet his support among Republicans has lagged in some sampling while Talarico consolidates Democratic voters and performs strongly with independents and moderates. Personal legal and family matters surrounding Paxton have limited Republican consolidation. With the November general election still months away, further polling shifts, campaign spending patterns, or turnout efforts in key demographics could widen or close the gap reflected in current trader pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$755,751Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls from July and early August 2026 show Democratic state Representative James Talarico holding narrow leads or ties over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the Texas U.S. Senate race, including margins of 2–5 points in surveys from Texas Southern University, Texas Public Opinion Research, and others. Paxton secured the GOP nomination after defeating incumbent Senator John Cornyn in the May runoff with Donald Trump’s backing, yet his support among Republicans has lagged in some sampling while Talarico consolidates Democratic voters and performs strongly with independents and moderates. Personal legal and family matters surrounding Paxton have limited Republican consolidation. With the November general election still months away, further polling shifts, campaign spending patterns, or turnout efforts in key demographics could widen or close the gap reflected in current trader pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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