Recent polling from outlets including Texas Southern University, Texas Public Opinion Research, and Fox News shows Democratic state Rep. James Talarico holding narrow leads or statistical ties over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Senate race, sustaining trader consensus near even odds ahead of the November 3 general election. Talarico benefits from strong independent and moderate support, overperformance among Democrats, and a commanding fundraising edge exceeding $68 million raised versus Paxton's roughly $9 million. Paxton's contentious primary victory over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, backed by a late endorsement from President Trump, left him with softer Republican consolidation in some surveys. Paxton's legal history and lower appeal in suburban and female voter blocs have kept the contest competitive in a historically Republican state. Upcoming debates, continued polling shifts, and turnout patterns among key voting groups could widen the gap in either direction before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas
$749,984 Vol.
$749,984 Vol.
3 nov 2026
James Talarico (D)
52%
Ken Paxton (R)
48%
$749,984 Vol.
$749,984 Vol.
3 nov 2026
James Talarico (D)
$356,396 Vol.
52%
Ken Paxton (R)
$393,588 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling from outlets including Texas Southern University, Texas Public Opinion Research, and Fox News shows Democratic state Rep. James Talarico holding narrow leads or statistical ties over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Senate race, sustaining trader consensus near even odds ahead of the November 3 general election. Talarico benefits from strong independent and moderate support, overperformance among Democrats, and a commanding fundraising edge exceeding $68 million raised versus Paxton's roughly $9 million. Paxton's contentious primary victory over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, backed by a late endorsement from President Trump, left him with softer Republican consolidation in some surveys. Paxton's legal history and lower appeal in suburban and female voter blocs have kept the contest competitive in a historically Republican state. Upcoming debates, continued polling shifts, and turnout patterns among key voting groups could widen the gap in either direction before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Volumen
$749,984Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling from outlets including Texas Southern University, Texas Public Opinion Research, and Fox News shows Democratic state Rep. James Talarico holding narrow leads or statistical ties over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Senate race, sustaining trader consensus near even odds ahead of the November 3 general election. Talarico benefits from strong independent and moderate support, overperformance among Democrats, and a commanding fundraising edge exceeding $68 million raised versus Paxton's roughly $9 million. Paxton's contentious primary victory over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, backed by a late endorsement from President Trump, left him with softer Republican consolidation in some surveys. Paxton's legal history and lower appeal in suburban and female voter blocs have kept the contest competitive in a historically Republican state. Upcoming debates, continued polling shifts, and turnout patterns among key voting groups could widen the gap in either direction before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$749,984Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from outlets including Texas Southern University, Texas Public Opinion Research, and Fox News shows Democratic state Rep. James Talarico holding narrow leads or statistical ties over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Senate race, sustaining trader consensus near even odds ahead of the November 3 general election. Talarico benefits from strong independent and moderate support, overperformance among Democrats, and a commanding fundraising edge exceeding $68 million raised versus Paxton's roughly $9 million. Paxton's contentious primary victory over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, backed by a late endorsement from President Trump, left him with softer Republican consolidation in some surveys. Paxton's legal history and lower appeal in suburban and female voter blocs have kept the contest competitive in a historically Republican state. Upcoming debates, continued polling shifts, and turnout patterns among key voting groups could widen the gap in either direction before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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