The closely contested Texas U.S. Senate race features a tight Republican primary runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26, leaving the GOP nominee uncertain just months before the November general election. Democrat James Talarico secured his party's nomination after prevailing in the March primary, and recent head-to-head polling from the University of Texas and Texas Public Opinion Research shows him leading or within a few points of both potential Republican opponents. These factors, combined with Texas's status as a Republican-leaning state with a history of strong incumbent performance, have produced trader consensus reflected in current market pricing that positions the Republican nominee as the slight favorite while acknowledging the competitive general-election dynamics and potential for shifts based on primary results or subsequent campaign developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas
$203,396 Vol.
$203,396 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
56%
Demócrata
46%
$203,396 Vol.
$203,396 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$111,902 Vol.
56%
Demócrata
$91,494 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The closely contested Texas U.S. Senate race features a tight Republican primary runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26, leaving the GOP nominee uncertain just months before the November general election. Democrat James Talarico secured his party's nomination after prevailing in the March primary, and recent head-to-head polling from the University of Texas and Texas Public Opinion Research shows him leading or within a few points of both potential Republican opponents. These factors, combined with Texas's status as a Republican-leaning state with a history of strong incumbent performance, have produced trader consensus reflected in current market pricing that positions the Republican nominee as the slight favorite while acknowledging the competitive general-election dynamics and potential for shifts based on primary results or subsequent campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Volumen
$203,396Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The closely contested Texas U.S. Senate race features a tight Republican primary runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26, leaving the GOP nominee uncertain just months before the November general election. Democrat James Talarico secured his party's nomination after prevailing in the March primary, and recent head-to-head polling from the University of Texas and Texas Public Opinion Research shows him leading or within a few points of both potential Republican opponents. These factors, combined with Texas's status as a Republican-leaning state with a history of strong incumbent performance, have produced trader consensus reflected in current market pricing that positions the Republican nominee as the slight favorite while acknowledging the competitive general-election dynamics and potential for shifts based on primary results or subsequent campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$203,396Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely contested Texas U.S. Senate race features a tight Republican primary runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26, leaving the GOP nominee uncertain just months before the November general election. Democrat James Talarico secured his party's nomination after prevailing in the March primary, and recent head-to-head polling from the University of Texas and Texas Public Opinion Research shows him leading or within a few points of both potential Republican opponents. These factors, combined with Texas's status as a Republican-leaning state with a history of strong incumbent performance, have produced trader consensus reflected in current market pricing that positions the Republican nominee as the slight favorite while acknowledging the competitive general-election dynamics and potential for shifts based on primary results or subsequent campaign developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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