Andrea Martella's commanding 84% implied probability in the Venice mayoral prediction market reflects trader consensus on his widening poll lead ahead of the May 24-25 first-round vote, with a potential runoff on June 7-8. Recent Tecnè polling from early May shows Martella at 49% among decided voters versus Simone Venturini's 41% for the center-right coalition, up from prior surveys, bolstered by a broad center-left alliance including PD, M5S, and AVS amid dissatisfaction with the outgoing Brugnaro administration's record on cost of living and security. Minor candidates like Boldrin, Del Zotto, and Martini trail far behind, unlikely to qualify for ballottaggio, positioning Martella for outright victory or a projected 52% runoff edge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoVenice Mayoral Election Winner
Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Andrea Martella 84%
Simone Venturini 13%
Michele Boldrin <1%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%
$107,840 Vol.
$107,840 Vol.
25 may 2026
Andrea Martella
84%
Simone Venturini
13%
Michele Boldrin
<1%
Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%
Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
Andrea Martella 84%
Simone Venturini 13%
Michele Boldrin <1%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%
$107,840 Vol.
$107,840 Vol.
25 may 2026
Andrea Martella
$41,650 Vol.
84%
Simone Venturini
$33,662 Vol.
13%
Michele Boldrin
$20,221 Vol.
<1%
Pierangelo Del Zotto
$5,252 Vol.
<1%
Giovanni Andrea Martini
$7,055 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 Venice, Italy mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 24 and 25, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 7 and 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.Andrea Martella's commanding 84% implied probability in the Venice mayoral prediction market reflects trader consensus on his widening poll lead ahead of the May 24-25 first-round vote, with a potential runoff on June 7-8. Recent Tecnè polling from early May shows Martella at 49% among decided voters versus Simone Venturini's 41% for the center-right coalition, up from prior surveys, bolstered by a broad center-left alliance including PD, M5S, and AVS amid dissatisfaction with the outgoing Brugnaro administration's record on cost of living and security. Minor candidates like Boldrin, Del Zotto, and Martini trail far behind, unlikely to qualify for ballottaggio, positioning Martella for outright victory or a projected 52% runoff edge.
The 2026 Venice, Italy mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 24 and 25, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 7 and 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Mercado abierto: Apr 6, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volumen
$107,840Fecha de finalización
25 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 6, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Venice, Italy mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 24 and 25, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 7 and 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.Andrea Martella's commanding 84% implied probability in the Venice mayoral prediction market reflects trader consensus on his widening poll lead ahead of the May 24-25 first-round vote, with a potential runoff on June 7-8. Recent Tecnè polling from early May shows Martella at 49% among decided voters versus Simone Venturini's 41% for the center-right coalition, up from prior surveys, bolstered by a broad center-left alliance including PD, M5S, and AVS amid dissatisfaction with the outgoing Brugnaro administration's record on cost of living and security. Minor candidates like Boldrin, Del Zotto, and Martini trail far behind, unlikely to qualify for ballottaggio, positioning Martella for outright victory or a projected 52% runoff edge.
The 2026 Venice, Italy mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 24 and 25, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 7 and 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Volumen
$107,840Fecha de finalización
25 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 6, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Andrea Martella's commanding 84% implied probability in the Venice mayoral prediction market reflects trader consensus on his widening poll lead ahead of the May 24-25 first-round vote, with a potential runoff on June 7-8. Recent Tecnè polling from early May shows Martella at 49% among decided voters versus Simone Venturini's 41% for the center-right coalition, up from prior surveys, bolstered by a broad center-left alliance including PD, M5S, and AVS amid dissatisfaction with the outgoing Brugnaro administration's record on cost of living and security. Minor candidates like Boldrin, Del Zotto, and Martini trail far behind, unlikely to qualify for ballottaggio, positioning Martella for outright victory or a projected 52% runoff edge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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