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Elecciones·Trump

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12
Elecciones·Trump

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12

Alex Bores 45%

Micah Lasher 45%

Jack Schlossberg 14%

Cameron Kasky <1%

Polymarket

$363,225 Vol.

Alex Bores 45%

Micah Lasher 45%

Jack Schlossberg 14%

Cameron Kasky <1%

Polymarket

$363,225 Vol.

Alex Bores

$8,315 Vol.

45%

Micah Lasher

$17,268 Vol.

45%

Jack Schlossberg

$12,167 Vol.

14%

Cameron Kasky

$5,967 Vol.

<1%

Keith Powers

$6,124 Vol.

<1%

Liz Krueger

$58,696 Vol.

<1%

Erik Bottcher

$4,521 Vol.

<1%

Carolyn Maloney

$4,774 Vol.

<1%

Brad Hoylman-Sigal

$7,418 Vol.

<1%

Gale Brewer

$4,244 Vol.

<1%

Brad Lander

$80,895 Vol.

<1%

Lina Khan

$41,371 Vol.

<1%

Julie Menin

$25,361 Vol.

<1%

Chelsea Clinton

$10,172 Vol.

<1%

Liam Elkind

$4,367 Vol.

<1%

Scott Stringer

$58,778 Vol.

<1%

Andrew Cuomo

$4,821 Vol.

<1%

Cynthia Nixon

$4,304 Vol.

<1%

George Conway

$3,664 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The tight contest in New York’s 12th Congressional District Democratic primary stems from the head-to-head positioning of state Assembly members Alex Bores and Micah Lasher following Rep. Jerry Nadler’s retirement. Bores has secured major labor endorsements and highlighted his AI regulation work, drawing both support and independent expenditures against him, while Lasher benefits from Nadler’s early backing, Governor Hochul’s endorsement, and recent success clearing a competing candidate from the ballot. High-name-recognition challengers such as Jack Schlossberg add visibility but have not consolidated support. Trader consensus at roughly 45 percent for Bores and 44.5 percent for Lasher reflects this balanced dynamic ahead of the June 23 primary, with further separation likely to hinge on turnout in Manhattan neighborhoods, additional union or party support, and the impact of outside spending in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$363,225
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The tight contest in New York’s 12th Congressional District Democratic primary stems from the head-to-head positioning of state Assembly members Alex Bores and Micah Lasher following Rep. Jerry Nadler’s retirement. Bores has secured major labor endorsements and highlighted his AI regulation work, drawing both support and independent expenditures against him, while Lasher benefits from Nadler’s early backing, Governor Hochul’s endorsement, and recent success clearing a competing candidate from the ballot. High-name-recognition challengers such as Jack Schlossberg add visibility but have not consolidated support. Trader consensus at roughly 45 percent for Bores and 44.5 percent for Lasher reflects this balanced dynamic ahead of the June 23 primary, with further separation likely to hinge on turnout in Manhattan neighborhoods, additional union or party support, and the impact of outside spending in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$363,225
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 19 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Alex Bores" con 45%, seguido de "Micah Lasher" con 45%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12" ha generado $363.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 21, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12", explora los 19 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12" es "Alex Bores" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Micah Lasher" con 45%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.