Skip to main content
icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?

icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?

Aug 7

Aug 7

TikTok Pro - Events 47%

ChatGPT 46%

Netflix Game Controller 45%

Capital One Mobile 34%

Polymarket
NEW

TikTok Pro - Events 47%

ChatGPT 46%

Netflix Game Controller 45%

Capital One Mobile 34%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for TikTok Pro - Events

TikTok Pro - Events

$5 Vol.

47%

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$7 Vol.

46%

icon for Netflix Game Controller

Netflix Game Controller

$10 Vol.

45%

icon for Capital One Mobile

Capital One Mobile

$6 Vol.

34%

icon for Atom - Movie Tickets & Times

Atom - Movie Tickets & Times

$5 Vol.

33%

icon for Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes

Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes

$6 Vol.

33%

icon for Threads

Threads

$6 Vol.

24%

icon for Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

$5 Vol.

33%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).High uncertainty prevails in this near-term Apple App Store ranking market, with multiple apps clustered near even odds reflecting the absence of a dominant catalyst ahead of August 7. Trader sentiment centers on competitive dynamics between AI-driven apps like ChatGPT, which benefits from ongoing large language model updates and user engagement benchmarks, and social or entertainment contenders such as TikTok Pro and Netflix Game Controller, whose feature rollouts or promotional campaigns could drive temporary download surges. Established platforms including Threads and resale or utility apps like Depop and Capital One Mobile trail due to steadier but less explosive growth patterns. Key differentiating factors include potential last-minute app updates, algorithmic boosts, or external events that favor viral spikes over baseline retention in the free category.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$50
End Date
Aug 7, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).High uncertainty prevails in this near-term Apple App Store ranking market, with multiple apps clustered near even odds reflecting the absence of a dominant catalyst ahead of August 7. Trader sentiment centers on competitive dynamics between AI-driven apps like ChatGPT, which benefits from ongoing large language model updates and user engagement benchmarks, and social or entertainment contenders such as TikTok Pro and Netflix Game Controller, whose feature rollouts or promotional campaigns could drive temporary download surges. Established platforms including Threads and resale or utility apps like Depop and Capital One Mobile trail due to steadier but less explosive growth patterns. Key differentiating factors include potential last-minute app updates, algorithmic boosts, or external events that favor viral spikes over baseline retention in the free category.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$50
End Date
Aug 7, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "TikTok Pro - Events" at 47%, followed by "ChatGPT" at 46%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?" is "TikTok Pro - Events" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ChatGPT" at 46%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.