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icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?

icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?

Sep 4

Sep 4

Claude by Anthropic 27%

Vinted 27%

Threads 26%

ChatGPT 25%

Polymarket
NEW

Claude by Anthropic 27%

Vinted 27%

Threads 26%

ChatGPT 25%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Claude by Anthropic

Claude by Anthropic

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Vinted

Vinted

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Threads

Threads

$63 Vol.

26%

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for 7 Brew Coffee

7 Brew Coffee

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for NBA 2K HQ

NBA 2K HQ

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Recent App Store data shows ChatGPT holding the #1 free spot in the US while Vinted, NBA 2K HQ, 7 Brew Coffee, Threads, and Claude by Anthropic trade positions just behind, creating tight competition for the #2 slot on September 4. With no major product launches or regulatory shifts confirmed ahead of the Labor Day weekend, trader sentiment reflects volatility driven by short-term download momentum across AI productivity tools, shopping marketplaces, sports gaming, and social platforms. Vinted’s pre-loved marketplace appeal and NBA 2K HQ’s sports engagement compete against ongoing AI chatbot refinements at OpenAI and Anthropic, while narrower spikes for Threads and 7 Brew limit their upside. The closely matched market-implied odds around 50% underscore how small weekend shifts in user behavior could decide the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$63
End Date
Sep 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Recent App Store data shows ChatGPT holding the #1 free spot in the US while Vinted, NBA 2K HQ, 7 Brew Coffee, Threads, and Claude by Anthropic trade positions just behind, creating tight competition for the #2 slot on September 4. With no major product launches or regulatory shifts confirmed ahead of the Labor Day weekend, trader sentiment reflects volatility driven by short-term download momentum across AI productivity tools, shopping marketplaces, sports gaming, and social platforms. Vinted’s pre-loved marketplace appeal and NBA 2K HQ’s sports engagement compete against ongoing AI chatbot refinements at OpenAI and Anthropic, while narrower spikes for Threads and 7 Brew limit their upside. The closely matched market-implied odds around 50% underscore how small weekend shifts in user behavior could decide the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$63
End Date
Sep 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Claude by Anthropic" at 27%, followed by "Vinted" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?" is "Claude by Anthropic" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Vinted" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.