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Politika·Eskosya

2026 Aberdeen South By-Election Winner

icon for 2026 Aberdeen South By-Election Winner
Politika·Eskosya

2026 Aberdeen South By-Election Winner

Richard Gordon Thomson 72%

Douglas Lumsden 27%

Nurul Hoque Ali <1%

Jorg Shelton-Eckstein <1%

Polymarket

$10,287 Vol.

Richard Gordon Thomson 72%

Douglas Lumsden 27%

Nurul Hoque Ali <1%

Jorg Shelton-Eckstein <1%

Polymarket

$10,287 Vol.

icon for Richard Gordon Thomson

Richard Gordon Thomson

$1,876 Vol.

72%

icon for Douglas Lumsden

Douglas Lumsden

$2,701 Vol.

27%

icon for Nurul Hoque Ali

Nurul Hoque Ali

$1,366 Vol.

1%

icon for Jorg Shelton-Eckstein

Jorg Shelton-Eckstein

$1,135 Vol.

1%

icon for David Ballantine

David Ballantine

$1,113 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jo Hart

Jo Hart

$1,031 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mel Sullivan

Mel Sullivan

$1,065 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).The SNP's selection of Richard Gordon Thomson, a former MP for the neighboring Gordon constituency with extensive local government experience in Aberdeenshire, underpins trader consensus favoring his victory in the 18 June 2026 by-election. The contest follows Stephen Flynn's resignation after his election to the Scottish Parliament, with the SNP retaining a structural advantage in this North Sea energy seat where oil and gas policy remains a central campaign issue. Douglas Lumsden, the Scottish Conservative candidate and MSP, represents the main opposition challenge amid broader UK-wide shifts in voter priorities. Other candidates, including Labour's Nurul Hoque Ali, trail significantly in implied probabilities, reflecting limited recent polling movement or breakthrough developments in the final days before polling.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).
Volume
$10,287
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 19, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 9, 2026, 6:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).The SNP's selection of Richard Gordon Thomson, a former MP for the neighboring Gordon constituency with extensive local government experience in Aberdeenshire, underpins trader consensus favoring his victory in the 18 June 2026 by-election. The contest follows Stephen Flynn's resignation after his election to the Scottish Parliament, with the SNP retaining a structural advantage in this North Sea energy seat where oil and gas policy remains a central campaign issue. Douglas Lumsden, the Scottish Conservative candidate and MSP, represents the main opposition challenge amid broader UK-wide shifts in voter priorities. Other candidates, including Labour's Nurul Hoque Ali, trail significantly in implied probabilities, reflecting limited recent polling movement or breakthrough developments in the final days before polling.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).
Volume
$10,287
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 19, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 9, 2026, 6:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "2026 Aberdeen South By-Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Richard Gordon Thomson" sa 72%, sinusundan ng "Douglas Lumsden" sa 27%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 72¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 72% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "2026 Aberdeen South By-Election Winner" ay naka-generate ng $10.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jun 9, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "2026 Aberdeen South By-Election Winner," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "2026 Aberdeen South By-Election Winner" ay "Richard Gordon Thomson" sa 72%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 72% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Douglas Lumsden" sa 27%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "2026 Aberdeen South By-Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.