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icon for Alaska Governor Election Winner
Elections·Alaska Midterm

Alaska Governor Election Winner

icon for Alaska Governor Election Winner
Elections·Alaska Midterm

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 83.3%

Bernadette Wilson 15%

Tom Begich <1%

Treg Taylor <1%

Polymarket

$1,346,895 Vol.

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 83.3%

Bernadette Wilson 15%

Tom Begich <1%

Treg Taylor <1%

Polymarket

$1,346,895 Vol.

icon for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$77,826 Vol.

83%

icon for Bernadette Wilson

Bernadette Wilson

$180,816 Vol.

15%

icon for Tom Begich

Tom Begich

$164,131 Vol.

1%

icon for Treg Taylor

Treg Taylor

$38,894 Vol.

1%

icon for David Bronson

David Bronson

$25,582 Vol.

<1%

icon for Shelley Hughes

Shelley Hughes

$16,707 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matt Claman

Matt Claman

$20,933 Vol.

<1%

icon for Click Bishop

Click Bishop

$31,236 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matt Heilala

Matt Heilala

$42,455 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Crum

Adam Crum

$51,172 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nancy Dahlstrom

Nancy Dahlstrom

$130,122 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edna DeVries

Edna DeVries

$28,750 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Parkin

James Parkin

$116,582 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lisa Murkowski

Lisa Murkowski

$27,782 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mary Peltola

Mary Peltola

$338,242 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hank Kroll

Hank Kroll

$19,448 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bruce Walden

Bruce Walden

$12,144 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lesil McGuire

Lesil McGuire

$5,541 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gregg Brelsford

Gregg Brelsford

$2,936 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jessica Faircloth

Jessica Faircloth

$3,288 Vol.

<1%

icon for Destry J. Payne Sr.

Destry J. Payne Sr.

$2,828 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bill Walker

Bill Walker

$9,558 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leads the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race with strong trader consensus due to his first-place finish in the August top-four primary, followed by Tom Begich’s withdrawal and endorsement that consolidated Democratic support. The November general election pits him against three Republicans—Bernadette Wilson, Dave Bronson, and Treg Taylor—under ranked-choice voting, where the split conservative field and Kreiss-Tomkins’ broader appeal across independents and moderates have produced decisive advantages in recent AARP polling simulations. Recent candidate forums on healthcare, data centers, and the Permanent Fund have highlighted his emphasis on consensus-building and legislative experience, while Republican efforts at consolidation have not materialized. These dynamics, combined with the open seat after term-limited Governor Dunleavy, explain the current market positioning ahead of the November 3 vote.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$1,346,895
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leads the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race with strong trader consensus due to his first-place finish in the August top-four primary, followed by Tom Begich’s withdrawal and endorsement that consolidated Democratic support. The November general election pits him against three Republicans—Bernadette Wilson, Dave Bronson, and Treg Taylor—under ranked-choice voting, where the split conservative field and Kreiss-Tomkins’ broader appeal across independents and moderates have produced decisive advantages in recent AARP polling simulations. Recent candidate forums on healthcare, data centers, and the Permanent Fund have highlighted his emphasis on consensus-building and legislative experience, while Republican efforts at consolidation have not materialized. These dynamics, combined with the open seat after term-limited Governor Dunleavy, explain the current market positioning ahead of the November 3 vote.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$1,346,895
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Alaska Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins" at 83%, followed by "Bernadette Wilson" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Alaska Governor Election Winner" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Alaska Governor Election Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Alaska Governor Election Winner" is "Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bernadette Wilson" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Alaska Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.