**Recent polling in Georgia's open-seat gubernatorial contest shows Republican Rick Jackson and Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms in a statistical tie or within 1-3 points across multiple surveys, including Rasmussen (48-45), YouGov (45-44), and Wedgewood (51-49), with aggregates placing the race near even or Jackson by roughly 1 point.** Wisconsin's race features Democrat David Crowley holding a steady 3-point edge over Republican Tom Tiffany in the latest Marquette poll (49-46 among likely voters), consistent with prior surveys showing small but persistent leads. Both contests involve open seats, strong partisan bases, and undecided independents, yet Georgia's tighter margins, demographic volatility, and late-campaign dynamics such as ad spending and scheduled debates have shaped trader consensus that its outcome is the closer of the two.