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icon for CO-03 Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Republican Primary

CO-03 Republican Primary Winner

icon for CO-03 Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Republican Primary

CO-03 Republican Primary Winner

NEW
Polymarket
NEW

Jeff Hurd

$5,443 Vol.

97%

Hope Scheppelman

$3,322 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jeff Hurd commands 96% trader consensus in the CO-03 Republican primary due to his strong incumbency advantage, superior fundraising—nearly tenfold over challengers—and President Trump's March re-endorsement, which prompted Hope Scheppelman to withdraw from the ballot. Despite former state Rep. Ron Hanks' late April grassroots entry criticizing Hurd as insufficiently conservative on issues like tariffs and votes with Democrats, no public polling indicates a competitive race, and Hurd gained fresh backing from groups like American Conservation Coalition Action this week. Ahead of the June 30 primary, an upset would require Trump withdrawing support again, a major scandal hitting Hurd, or unexpectedly high MAGA turnout in this rural, Republican-leaning district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$8,764
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jeff Hurd commands 96% trader consensus in the CO-03 Republican primary due to his strong incumbency advantage, superior fundraising—nearly tenfold over challengers—and President Trump's March re-endorsement, which prompted Hope Scheppelman to withdraw from the ballot. Despite former state Rep. Ron Hanks' late April grassroots entry criticizing Hurd as insufficiently conservative on issues like tariffs and votes with Democrats, no public polling indicates a competitive race, and Hurd gained fresh backing from groups like American Conservation Coalition Action this week. Ahead of the June 30 primary, an upset would require Trump withdrawing support again, a major scandal hitting Hurd, or unexpectedly high MAGA turnout in this rural, Republican-leaning district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$8,764
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"CO-03 Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jeff Hurd" at 97%, followed by "Hope Scheppelman" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"CO-03 Republican Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "CO-03 Republican Primary Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CO-03 Republican Primary Winner" is "Jeff Hurd" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hope Scheppelman" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CO-03 Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.