The Department of Justice closed its criminal probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on April 24, 2026, transferring the matter to the Fed’s inspector general for review of headquarters renovation cost overruns. U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro stated that her office would restart a criminal investigation if warranted by new facts, while Senate Republicans moved to advance President Trump’s nominee Kevin Warsh toward confirmation. No additional subpoenas, indictments, or official announcements have emerged in the subsequent three weeks. Traders assessing the likelihood of reopening by a specific date therefore focus on whether the inspector general’s findings or fresh congressional testimony could supply grounds for renewed DOJ action within the market’s resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$19,791 Vol.
May 15
<1%
June 30
3%
$19,791 Vol.
May 15
<1%
June 30
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Department of Justice reopens this criminal investigation of Powell, or opens a new criminal investigation of Powell, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell, this will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
An official announcement from the United States Department of Justice that the investigation has been reopened, or that a new investigation against Powell has been opened, will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.
Statements or reports that the Department of Justice is considering allegations or potential investigative action against Powell will not qualify, unless they explicitly indicate that a criminal investigation into Powell has been reopened or opened.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Department of Justice, including any relevant United States Attorney’s Office; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 3, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Department of Justice reopens this criminal investigation of Powell, or opens a new criminal investigation of Powell, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell, this will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
An official announcement from the United States Department of Justice that the investigation has been reopened, or that a new investigation against Powell has been opened, will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.
Statements or reports that the Department of Justice is considering allegations or potential investigative action against Powell will not qualify, unless they explicitly indicate that a criminal investigation into Powell has been reopened or opened.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Department of Justice, including any relevant United States Attorney’s Office; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Department of Justice closed its criminal probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on April 24, 2026, transferring the matter to the Fed’s inspector general for review of headquarters renovation cost overruns. U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro stated that her office would restart a criminal investigation if warranted by new facts, while Senate Republicans moved to advance President Trump’s nominee Kevin Warsh toward confirmation. No additional subpoenas, indictments, or official announcements have emerged in the subsequent three weeks. Traders assessing the likelihood of reopening by a specific date therefore focus on whether the inspector general’s findings or fresh congressional testimony could supply grounds for renewed DOJ action within the market’s resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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