Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026, and he confirmed on April 29 that he will step aside then while remaining on the Board of Governors until January 2028. President Trump's March nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor advanced through the Senate Banking Committee this week on a 13-11 party-line vote, positioning it for a full Senate confirmation vote imminently, likely enabling Warsh to assume the role shortly after May 15. No recent developments suggest early departure, though tensions over Federal Reserve independence and Trump's past criticisms underscore the high-stakes transition, with Warsh signaling potential policy shifts on interest rates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$79,239 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
May 16
90%
May 15
18%
May 31
99%
June 30
100%
$79,239 Vol.
May 16
$40,371 Vol.
90%
May 15
$18,417 Vol.
18%
May 31
$7,120 Vol.
99%
June 30
$13,331 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026, and he confirmed on April 29 that he will step aside then while remaining on the Board of Governors until January 2028. President Trump's March nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor advanced through the Senate Banking Committee this week on a 13-11 party-line vote, positioning it for a full Senate confirmation vote imminently, likely enabling Warsh to assume the role shortly after May 15. No recent developments suggest early departure, though tensions over Federal Reserve independence and Trump's past criticisms underscore the high-stakes transition, with Warsh signaling potential policy shifts on interest rates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Volume
$79,239End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026, and he confirmed on April 29 that he will step aside then while remaining on the Board of Governors until January 2028. President Trump's March nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor advanced through the Senate Banking Committee this week on a 13-11 party-line vote, positioning it for a full Senate confirmation vote imminently, likely enabling Warsh to assume the role shortly after May 15. No recent developments suggest early departure, though tensions over Federal Reserve independence and Trump's past criticisms underscore the high-stakes transition, with Warsh signaling potential policy shifts on interest rates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$79,239End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026, and he confirmed on April 29 that he will step aside then while remaining on the Board of Governors until January 2028. President Trump's March nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor advanced through the Senate Banking Committee this week on a 13-11 party-line vote, positioning it for a full Senate confirmation vote imminently, likely enabling Warsh to assume the role shortly after May 15. No recent developments suggest early departure, though tensions over Federal Reserve independence and Trump's past criticisms underscore the high-stakes transition, with Warsh signaling potential policy shifts on interest rates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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