Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Jerome Powell departing as Fed Chair during May 15–22, reflecting his confirmed term expiration on May 15 and President Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh, whom the Senate confirmed on May 13 in a 54-45 vote. Powell stated in late April he will step down as chair at term's end while remaining a Board of Governors member through 2028, paving the way for Warsh's swift swearing-in amid pressure for policy shifts on interest rates and inflation. This commanding position stems from procedural certainty in the nomination and confirmation process, with historical precedents showing new chairs assuming roles days after Senate approval. Realistic challenges include unforeseen delays in Warsh's inauguration ceremony, a legal injunction, or Powell serving briefly as acting chair, though official statements indicate no such extensions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 96.4%
May 30–June 5 <1%
June 13–19 <1%
Before May 15 <1%
$94,373 Vol.
$94,373 Vol.
Jul 3, 2026
Before May 15
1%
May 15–22
96%
May 23–29
1%
May 30–June 5
1%
June 6–12
1%
June 13–19
1%
June 20–26
<1%
June 27–July 3
<1%
After July 3
1%
May 15–22 96.4%
May 30–June 5 <1%
June 13–19 <1%
Before May 15 <1%
$94,373 Vol.
$94,373 Vol.
Jul 3, 2026
Before May 15
$25,770 Vol.
1%
May 15–22
$28,530 Vol.
96%
May 23–29
$5,606 Vol.
1%
May 30–June 5
$3,872 Vol.
1%
June 6–12
$5,279 Vol.
1%
June 13–19
$4,690 Vol.
1%
June 20–26
$9,622 Vol.
<1%
June 27–July 3
$3,216 Vol.
<1%
After July 3
$7,788 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Jerome Powell departing as Fed Chair during May 15–22, reflecting his confirmed term expiration on May 15 and President Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh, whom the Senate confirmed on May 13 in a 54-45 vote. Powell stated in late April he will step down as chair at term's end while remaining a Board of Governors member through 2028, paving the way for Warsh's swift swearing-in amid pressure for policy shifts on interest rates and inflation. This commanding position stems from procedural certainty in the nomination and confirmation process, with historical precedents showing new chairs assuming roles days after Senate approval. Realistic challenges include unforeseen delays in Warsh's inauguration ceremony, a legal injunction, or Powell serving briefly as acting chair, though official statements indicate no such extensions.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Volume
$94,373End Date
Jul 3, 2026Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Jerome Powell departing as Fed Chair during May 15–22, reflecting his confirmed term expiration on May 15 and President Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh, whom the Senate confirmed on May 13 in a 54-45 vote. Powell stated in late April he will step down as chair at term's end while remaining a Board of Governors member through 2028, paving the way for Warsh's swift swearing-in amid pressure for policy shifts on interest rates and inflation. This commanding position stems from procedural certainty in the nomination and confirmation process, with historical precedents showing new chairs assuming roles days after Senate approval. Realistic challenges include unforeseen delays in Warsh's inauguration ceremony, a legal injunction, or Powell serving briefly as acting chair, though official statements indicate no such extensions.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$94,373End Date
Jul 3, 2026Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Jerome Powell departing as Fed Chair during May 15–22, reflecting his confirmed term expiration on May 15 and President Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh, whom the Senate confirmed on May 13 in a 54-45 vote. Powell stated in late April he will step down as chair at term's end while remaining a Board of Governors member through 2028, paving the way for Warsh's swift swearing-in amid pressure for policy shifts on interest rates and inflation. This commanding position stems from procedural certainty in the nomination and confirmation process, with historical precedents showing new chairs assuming roles days after Senate approval. Realistic challenges include unforeseen delays in Warsh's inauguration ceremony, a legal injunction, or Powell serving briefly as acting chair, though official statements indicate no such extensions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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