Elon Musk's consistent high-volume posting on X continues to anchor trader expectations around the 180-219 tweet range for the May 12-19 window, with the 180-199 bracket holding the clearest lead. His activity level reflects a steady rhythm of replies, commentary on cultural debates, and platform updates that align with historical weekly totals near or slightly above 200. Recent exchanges on topics like simulation theory, X's download milestones, and industry critiques have sustained momentum without major spikes or slowdowns. With just a couple of days remaining before the period closes, any surge in real-time engagement or breaking news could nudge the total toward the upper end of the favored band, though current pacing keeps the market consensus tightly focused on this narrow cluster.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated180-199 46.0%
200-219 30.9%
220-239 11.1%
160-179 5.8%
$9,730,563 Vol.
$9,730,563 Vol.
May 19, 2026
140-159
<1%
160-179
6%
180-199
46%
200-219
31%
220-239
11%
240-259
2%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 46.0%
200-219 30.9%
220-239 11.1%
160-179 5.8%
$9,730,563 Vol.
$9,730,563 Vol.
May 19, 2026
140-159
$719,451 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$488,514 Vol.
6%
180-199
$376,394 Vol.
46%
200-219
$365,261 Vol.
31%
220-239
$390,709 Vol.
11%
240-259
$311,356 Vol.
2%
260-279
$295,539 Vol.
1%
280-299
$276,663 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$327,454 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$406,255 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$431,349 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$416,804 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$400,329 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$545,117 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$157,811 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$82,158 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$67,054 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$29,200 Vol.
<1%
500+
$241,779 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's consistent high-volume posting on X continues to anchor trader expectations around the 180-219 tweet range for the May 12-19 window, with the 180-199 bracket holding the clearest lead. His activity level reflects a steady rhythm of replies, commentary on cultural debates, and platform updates that align with historical weekly totals near or slightly above 200. Recent exchanges on topics like simulation theory, X's download milestones, and industry critiques have sustained momentum without major spikes or slowdowns. With just a couple of days remaining before the period closes, any surge in real-time engagement or breaking news could nudge the total toward the upper end of the favored band, though current pacing keeps the market consensus tightly focused on this narrow cluster.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
Volume
$9,730,563End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's consistent high-volume posting on X continues to anchor trader expectations around the 180-219 tweet range for the May 12-19 window, with the 180-199 bracket holding the clearest lead. His activity level reflects a steady rhythm of replies, commentary on cultural debates, and platform updates that align with historical weekly totals near or slightly above 200. Recent exchanges on topics like simulation theory, X's download milestones, and industry critiques have sustained momentum without major spikes or slowdowns. With just a couple of days remaining before the period closes, any surge in real-time engagement or breaking news could nudge the total toward the upper end of the favored band, though current pacing keeps the market consensus tightly focused on this narrow cluster.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,730,563End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's consistent high-volume posting on X continues to anchor trader expectations around the 180-219 tweet range for the May 12-19 window, with the 180-199 bracket holding the clearest lead. His activity level reflects a steady rhythm of replies, commentary on cultural debates, and platform updates that align with historical weekly totals near or slightly above 200. Recent exchanges on topics like simulation theory, X's download milestones, and industry critiques have sustained momentum without major spikes or slowdowns. With just a couple of days remaining before the period closes, any surge in real-time engagement or breaking news could nudge the total toward the upper end of the favored band, though current pacing keeps the market consensus tightly focused on this narrow cluster.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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