Trader sentiment strongly favors the 40-64 range for Elon Musk’s X posts over May 16-18, driven by his well-documented average posting frequency of roughly 15-25 tweets daily outside major breaking-news cycles. Historical platform data shows this pace produces totals squarely in the leading bin for comparable three-day stretches, with traders viewing it as the most probable baseline. Recent activity has followed routine patterns of replies, commentary, and occasional threads, without any verified surge from high-profile announcements or platform developments. The market remains sensitive to late-period momentum, as the window closes on May 18 and any sudden news cycle could push the count toward the 65-89 outcome still holding meaningful support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 63%
65-89 34%
90-114 3.6%
<40 1.0%
$488,949 Vol.
$488,949 Vol.
May 18, 2026
<40
1%
40-64
63%
65-89
34%
90-114
4%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 63%
65-89 34%
90-114 3.6%
<40 1.0%
$488,949 Vol.
$488,949 Vol.
May 18, 2026
<40
$112,054 Vol.
1%
40-64
$40,619 Vol.
63%
65-89
$48,892 Vol.
34%
90-114
$70,805 Vol.
4%
115-139
$47,473 Vol.
1%
140-164
$48,592 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$36,291 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$14,853 Vol.
<1%
240+
$16,696 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment strongly favors the 40-64 range for Elon Musk’s X posts over May 16-18, driven by his well-documented average posting frequency of roughly 15-25 tweets daily outside major breaking-news cycles. Historical platform data shows this pace produces totals squarely in the leading bin for comparable three-day stretches, with traders viewing it as the most probable baseline. Recent activity has followed routine patterns of replies, commentary, and occasional threads, without any verified surge from high-profile announcements or platform developments. The market remains sensitive to late-period momentum, as the window closes on May 18 and any sudden news cycle could push the count toward the 65-89 outcome still holding meaningful support.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$488,949End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment strongly favors the 40-64 range for Elon Musk’s X posts over May 16-18, driven by his well-documented average posting frequency of roughly 15-25 tweets daily outside major breaking-news cycles. Historical platform data shows this pace produces totals squarely in the leading bin for comparable three-day stretches, with traders viewing it as the most probable baseline. Recent activity has followed routine patterns of replies, commentary, and occasional threads, without any verified surge from high-profile announcements or platform developments. The market remains sensitive to late-period momentum, as the window closes on May 18 and any sudden news cycle could push the count toward the 65-89 outcome still holding meaningful support.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$488,949End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment strongly favors the 40-64 range for Elon Musk’s X posts over May 16-18, driven by his well-documented average posting frequency of roughly 15-25 tweets daily outside major breaking-news cycles. Historical platform data shows this pace produces totals squarely in the leading bin for comparable three-day stretches, with traders viewing it as the most probable baseline. Recent activity has followed routine patterns of replies, commentary, and occasional threads, without any verified surge from high-profile announcements or platform developments. The market remains sensitive to late-period momentum, as the window closes on May 18 and any sudden news cycle could push the count toward the 65-89 outcome still holding meaningful support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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