Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume engagement on X continues to anchor trader sentiment in the 180-199 tweet range for the May 12-19 window, reflecting steady daily posting that has held firm through mid-week. Recent activity, including replies on cultural debates, Grok feature updates, and platform milestones, aligns with his typical cadence of 25-plus posts per day during non-crisis periods. With two days remaining, the market-implied odds price in limited upside from major announcements or viral spikes that could push counts into the 200s. Traders weigh this against historical weekly totals, noting how routine interaction often keeps totals clustered around 180-220 absent extraordinary events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated180-199 45.6%
200-219 34.6%
220-239 11.8%
160-179 4.0%
$9,687,833 Vol.
$9,687,833 Vol.
May 19, 2026
140-159
<1%
160-179
4%
180-199
46%
200-219
35%
220-239
12%
240-259
3%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 45.6%
200-219 34.6%
220-239 11.8%
160-179 4.0%
$9,687,833 Vol.
$9,687,833 Vol.
May 19, 2026
140-159
$711,052 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$476,159 Vol.
4%
180-199
$371,654 Vol.
46%
200-219
$363,087 Vol.
35%
220-239
$384,510 Vol.
12%
240-259
$310,496 Vol.
3%
260-279
$295,363 Vol.
1%
280-299
$271,285 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$325,337 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$406,255 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$431,349 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$416,804 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$400,329 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$544,970 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$157,811 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$82,158 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$67,054 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$29,200 Vol.
<1%
500+
$241,779 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume engagement on X continues to anchor trader sentiment in the 180-199 tweet range for the May 12-19 window, reflecting steady daily posting that has held firm through mid-week. Recent activity, including replies on cultural debates, Grok feature updates, and platform milestones, aligns with his typical cadence of 25-plus posts per day during non-crisis periods. With two days remaining, the market-implied odds price in limited upside from major announcements or viral spikes that could push counts into the 200s. Traders weigh this against historical weekly totals, noting how routine interaction often keeps totals clustered around 180-220 absent extraordinary events.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
Volume
$9,687,833End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume engagement on X continues to anchor trader sentiment in the 180-199 tweet range for the May 12-19 window, reflecting steady daily posting that has held firm through mid-week. Recent activity, including replies on cultural debates, Grok feature updates, and platform milestones, aligns with his typical cadence of 25-plus posts per day during non-crisis periods. With two days remaining, the market-implied odds price in limited upside from major announcements or viral spikes that could push counts into the 200s. Traders weigh this against historical weekly totals, noting how routine interaction often keeps totals clustered around 180-220 absent extraordinary events.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,687,833End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume engagement on X continues to anchor trader sentiment in the 180-199 tweet range for the May 12-19 window, reflecting steady daily posting that has held firm through mid-week. Recent activity, including replies on cultural debates, Grok feature updates, and platform milestones, aligns with his typical cadence of 25-plus posts per day during non-crisis periods. With two days remaining, the market-implied odds price in limited upside from major announcements or viral spikes that could push counts into the 200s. Traders weigh this against historical weekly totals, noting how routine interaction often keeps totals clustered around 180-220 absent extraordinary events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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