Elon Musk’s posting pace in the current window aligns closely with his established weekly average on X, positioning the 180-199 range as the clear market leader. Recent activity, including a burst of 62 posts on May 13 and sustained engagement around Grok updates and platform milestones through May 17, has reinforced trader expectations without triggering the spikes that would shift volume into higher brackets. With the period closing May 19, any late-week developments in AI announcements or cultural commentary could still nudge totals, yet the current trajectory and historical precedent keep the frontrunner bin firmly in place at 45.6% implied probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated180-199 46.4%
200-219 32.8%
220-239 11.6%
160-179 4.8%
$9,654,270 Vol.
$9,654,270 Vol.
May 19, 2026
140-159
<1%
160-179
5%
180-199
46%
200-219
33%
220-239
12%
240-259
2%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 46.4%
200-219 32.8%
220-239 11.6%
160-179 4.8%
$9,654,270 Vol.
$9,654,270 Vol.
May 19, 2026
140-159
$709,013 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$469,023 Vol.
5%
180-199
$370,568 Vol.
46%
200-219
$357,501 Vol.
33%
220-239
$380,391 Vol.
12%
240-259
$309,971 Vol.
2%
260-279
$294,954 Vol.
1%
280-299
$271,112 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$323,286 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$400,517 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$431,224 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$416,794 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$400,319 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$544,870 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$157,801 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$82,148 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$67,044 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$29,190 Vol.
<1%
500+
$241,769 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace in the current window aligns closely with his established weekly average on X, positioning the 180-199 range as the clear market leader. Recent activity, including a burst of 62 posts on May 13 and sustained engagement around Grok updates and platform milestones through May 17, has reinforced trader expectations without triggering the spikes that would shift volume into higher brackets. With the period closing May 19, any late-week developments in AI announcements or cultural commentary could still nudge totals, yet the current trajectory and historical precedent keep the frontrunner bin firmly in place at 45.6% implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
Volume
$9,654,270End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace in the current window aligns closely with his established weekly average on X, positioning the 180-199 range as the clear market leader. Recent activity, including a burst of 62 posts on May 13 and sustained engagement around Grok updates and platform milestones through May 17, has reinforced trader expectations without triggering the spikes that would shift volume into higher brackets. With the period closing May 19, any late-week developments in AI announcements or cultural commentary could still nudge totals, yet the current trajectory and historical precedent keep the frontrunner bin firmly in place at 45.6% implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,654,270End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s posting pace in the current window aligns closely with his established weekly average on X, positioning the 180-199 range as the clear market leader. Recent activity, including a burst of 62 posts on May 13 and sustained engagement around Grok updates and platform milestones through May 17, has reinforced trader expectations without triggering the spikes that would shift volume into higher brackets. With the period closing May 19, any late-week developments in AI announcements or cultural commentary could still nudge totals, yet the current trajectory and historical precedent keep the frontrunner bin firmly in place at 45.6% implied probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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