Traders see Elon Musk's tweet volume for the May 15–22 window settling most likely in the 160–219 range, with the 180–199 bucket commanding the top implied probability at 21.5 percent. This narrow clustering mirrors his established high-frequency posting cadence on X, shaped by real-time commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and broader cultural or political topics. Mid-week momentum from ongoing company updates and public discourse has kept daily output steady, while the competitive spread across adjacent buckets reflects uncertainty over how late-week events—such as product reveals or breaking news—might accelerate or temper activity before the period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated180-199 22%
160-179 20%
200-219 17.3%
140-159 12%
$4,336,033 Vol.
$4,336,033 Vol.
May 22, 2026
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
12%
160-179
20%
180-199
22%
200-219
17%
220-239
10%
240-259
7%
260-279
3%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 22%
160-179 20%
200-219 17.3%
140-159 12%
$4,336,033 Vol.
$4,336,033 Vol.
May 22, 2026
60-79
$260,849 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$279,209 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$242,239 Vol.
1%
120-139
$179,990 Vol.
3%
140-159
$159,158 Vol.
12%
160-179
$132,554 Vol.
20%
180-199
$113,880 Vol.
22%
200-219
$160,860 Vol.
17%
220-239
$154,860 Vol.
10%
240-259
$116,495 Vol.
7%
260-279
$127,785 Vol.
3%
280-299
$118,752 Vol.
2%
300-319
$133,443 Vol.
1%
320-339
$119,972 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$145,991 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$136,455 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$160,940 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$168,844 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$238,020 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$121,203 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$125,876 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$168,834 Vol.
<1%
500+
$269,821 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Elon Musk's tweet volume for the May 15–22 window settling most likely in the 160–219 range, with the 180–199 bucket commanding the top implied probability at 21.5 percent. This narrow clustering mirrors his established high-frequency posting cadence on X, shaped by real-time commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and broader cultural or political topics. Mid-week momentum from ongoing company updates and public discourse has kept daily output steady, while the competitive spread across adjacent buckets reflects uncertainty over how late-week events—such as product reveals or breaking news—might accelerate or temper activity before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$4,336,033End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Elon Musk's tweet volume for the May 15–22 window settling most likely in the 160–219 range, with the 180–199 bucket commanding the top implied probability at 21.5 percent. This narrow clustering mirrors his established high-frequency posting cadence on X, shaped by real-time commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and broader cultural or political topics. Mid-week momentum from ongoing company updates and public discourse has kept daily output steady, while the competitive spread across adjacent buckets reflects uncertainty over how late-week events—such as product reveals or breaking news—might accelerate or temper activity before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,336,033End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see Elon Musk's tweet volume for the May 15–22 window settling most likely in the 160–219 range, with the 180–199 bucket commanding the top implied probability at 21.5 percent. This narrow clustering mirrors his established high-frequency posting cadence on X, shaped by real-time commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and broader cultural or political topics. Mid-week momentum from ongoing company updates and public discourse has kept daily output steady, while the competitive spread across adjacent buckets reflects uncertainty over how late-week events—such as product reveals or breaking news—might accelerate or temper activity before the period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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