Elon Musk’s established rhythm of roughly 20–30 posts per day on X underpins the overwhelming market consensus behind the 65–89 tweet range. Traders have observed this steady cadence across recent windows, fueled by routine company updates, quick replies to trending topics, and commentary on tech and policy developments. With the three-day window closing soon, the bracket aligns closely with his typical output absent any extraordinary catalyst. An upset into the 90-plus range would require a sudden surge in high-profile announcements or viral exchanges, while a drop below 65 would hinge on extended travel or a deliberate slowdown in engagement—both less common patterns based on his documented activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated65-89 90%
90-114 4.7%
40-64 4.5%
115-139 <1%
$1,101,994 Vol.
$1,101,994 Vol.
May 18, 2026
40-64
4%
65-89
90%
90-114
5%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 90%
90-114 4.7%
40-64 4.5%
115-139 <1%
$1,101,994 Vol.
$1,101,994 Vol.
May 18, 2026
40-64
$152,732 Vol.
4%
65-89
$122,927 Vol.
90%
90-114
$169,628 Vol.
5%
115-139
$117,524 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$68,406 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$54,265 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$37,343 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$15,853 Vol.
<1%
240+
$19,735 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established rhythm of roughly 20–30 posts per day on X underpins the overwhelming market consensus behind the 65–89 tweet range. Traders have observed this steady cadence across recent windows, fueled by routine company updates, quick replies to trending topics, and commentary on tech and policy developments. With the three-day window closing soon, the bracket aligns closely with his typical output absent any extraordinary catalyst. An upset into the 90-plus range would require a sudden surge in high-profile announcements or viral exchanges, while a drop below 65 would hinge on extended travel or a deliberate slowdown in engagement—both less common patterns based on his documented activity.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$1,101,994End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established rhythm of roughly 20–30 posts per day on X underpins the overwhelming market consensus behind the 65–89 tweet range. Traders have observed this steady cadence across recent windows, fueled by routine company updates, quick replies to trending topics, and commentary on tech and policy developments. With the three-day window closing soon, the bracket aligns closely with his typical output absent any extraordinary catalyst. An upset into the 90-plus range would require a sudden surge in high-profile announcements or viral exchanges, while a drop below 65 would hinge on extended travel or a deliberate slowdown in engagement—both less common patterns based on his documented activity.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,101,994End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Elon Musk’s established rhythm of roughly 20–30 posts per day on X underpins the overwhelming market consensus behind the 65–89 tweet range. Traders have observed this steady cadence across recent windows, fueled by routine company updates, quick replies to trending topics, and commentary on tech and policy developments. With the three-day window closing soon, the bracket aligns closely with his typical output absent any extraordinary catalyst. An upset into the 90-plus range would require a sudden surge in high-profile announcements or viral exchanges, while a drop below 65 would hinge on extended travel or a deliberate slowdown in engagement—both less common patterns based on his documented activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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