President Donald Trump's longstanding pattern of personal insults via Truth Social posts, press interactions, and speeches continues to anchor trader consensus in daily prediction markets tracking such events. In the past 24 hours, Trump publicly called two female reporters "dumb" and "stupid" during a White House exchange over ballooning ballroom renovation costs and inflation pressures, exemplifying the sharp rhetoric that resolves these markets to Yes. Amid intraparty frictions like Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene's criticisms of Iran policy and ahead of the May 14-15 summit with China's Xi Jinping—where related markets gauge potential hugs, kisses, or insults—traders weigh his frequent media engagement against rare quiet days. Resolution hinges on credible reporting of clearly negative personal or professional attacks by midnight ET.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Trump publicly insult someone on...?
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
$400,036 Vol.
May 31, 2026
May 14
68%
May 15
79%
May 16
86%
May 17
86%
May 18
88%
May 19
88%
May 20
88%
May 21
89%
May 22
90%
May 23
88%
May 24
87%
May 25
87%
May 26
87%
May 27
89%
May 28
87%
May 29
87%
May 30
90%
May 31
86%
$400,036 Vol.
May 14
$11,481 Vol.
68%
May 15
$7,382 Vol.
79%
May 16
$1,170 Vol.
86%
May 17
$1,599 Vol.
86%
May 18
$573 Vol.
88%
May 19
$804 Vol.
88%
May 20
$904 Vol.
88%
May 21
$387 Vol.
89%
May 22
$631 Vol.
90%
May 23
$92 Vol.
88%
May 24
$401 Vol.
87%
May 25
$595 Vol.
87%
May 26
$632 Vol.
87%
May 27
$992 Vol.
89%
May 28
$396 Vol.
87%
May 29
$327 Vol.
87%
May 30
$71 Vol.
90%
May 31
$257 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's longstanding pattern of personal insults via Truth Social posts, press interactions, and speeches continues to anchor trader consensus in daily prediction markets tracking such events. In the past 24 hours, Trump publicly called two female reporters "dumb" and "stupid" during a White House exchange over ballooning ballroom renovation costs and inflation pressures, exemplifying the sharp rhetoric that resolves these markets to Yes. Amid intraparty frictions like Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene's criticisms of Iran policy and ahead of the May 14-15 summit with China's Xi Jinping—where related markets gauge potential hugs, kisses, or insults—traders weigh his frequent media engagement against rare quiet days. Resolution hinges on credible reporting of clearly negative personal or professional attacks by midnight ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
Volume
$400,036End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's longstanding pattern of personal insults via Truth Social posts, press interactions, and speeches continues to anchor trader consensus in daily prediction markets tracking such events. In the past 24 hours, Trump publicly called two female reporters "dumb" and "stupid" during a White House exchange over ballooning ballroom renovation costs and inflation pressures, exemplifying the sharp rhetoric that resolves these markets to Yes. Amid intraparty frictions like Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene's criticisms of Iran policy and ahead of the May 14-15 summit with China's Xi Jinping—where related markets gauge potential hugs, kisses, or insults—traders weigh his frequent media engagement against rare quiet days. Resolution hinges on credible reporting of clearly negative personal or professional attacks by midnight ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$400,036End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's longstanding pattern of personal insults via Truth Social posts, press interactions, and speeches continues to anchor trader consensus in daily prediction markets tracking such events. In the past 24 hours, Trump publicly called two female reporters "dumb" and "stupid" during a White House exchange over ballooning ballroom renovation costs and inflation pressures, exemplifying the sharp rhetoric that resolves these markets to Yes. Amid intraparty frictions like Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene's criticisms of Iran policy and ahead of the May 14-15 summit with China's Xi Jinping—where related markets gauge potential hugs, kisses, or insults—traders weigh his frequent media engagement against rare quiet days. Resolution hinges on credible reporting of clearly negative personal or professional attacks by midnight ET.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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