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Trump Daily predictions & odds

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Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

1%

$1M Vol.

$1M today

$274K Liq.

63

Ends in about 24 hours

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

80%

Iran

$564K Vol.

$442K today

$179K Liq.

33

Ends in about 24 hours

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

52%

June 30

$17M Vol.

$206K today

$319K Liq.

447

Ends in about 2 months

How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?

How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?

50%

15s+

$333K Vol.

$189K today

$115K Liq.

26

Ends in 8 months

Trump out as President by May 31?

Trump out as President by May 31?

1%

$1M Vol.

$123K today

$593K Liq.

1

Ends in 17 days

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

15%

Oil Sanction Relief

$964K Vol.

$109K today

$226K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

38%

May 31

$102K Vol.

$102K today

$53.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 17 days

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Who will Trump speak to in May?

100%

Xi Jinping

$610K Vol.

$75.4K today

$186K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

49%

180-199

$276K Vol.

$52.3K today

$8.8K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

When will Trump leave China?

When will Trump leave China?

98%

May 15

$72.6K Vol.

$50.3K today

$169K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 days

Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?

Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?

10%

$74.7K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

10

Ends in about 24 hours

Who will Trump meet with in May?

Who will Trump meet with in May?

100%

Xi Jinping

$353K Vol.

$99.6K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

92%

France

$434K Vol.

$131K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

2%

$5M Vol.

$397K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

2%

$58.1K Vol.

$42.5K Liq.

7

Ends in 3 days

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

89%

No meeting by June 30

$6M Vol.

$250K Liq.

26

Ends in about 2 months

Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

96%

New Jersey

$278K Vol.

$33.8K Liq.

14

Ends in 8 months

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

7%

$33M Vol.

$152K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

4%

$65.0K Vol.

$36.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 days

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

100%

Xi Jinping

$477K Vol.

$193K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 302 active markets for Trump Daily that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $68.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 93% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Trump Daily predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.