President Trump's position remains firmly entrenched midway through his term ending January 20, 2029, with no active impeachment proceedings in Congress, no invocation of the 25th Amendment, and no public indications of resignation. Trader consensus at 99.4% "No" reflects the absence of any major catalysts in the past 30 days—such as health disclosures, scandals, or legal rulings—that could precipitate early departure, underscoring the high procedural barriers to removal via House impeachment and two-thirds Senate conviction. While late-breaking events like a sudden medical emergency or extraordinary political upheaval could theoretically shift odds, historical precedents show presidents rarely exit office abruptly absent overwhelming evidence. No scheduled hearings, votes, or deadlines loom by May 31 to challenge this stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,291,797 Vol.
$1,291,797 Vol.
May 31, 2026
$1,291,797 Vol.
$1,291,797 Vol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's position remains firmly entrenched midway through his term ending January 20, 2029, with no active impeachment proceedings in Congress, no invocation of the 25th Amendment, and no public indications of resignation. Trader consensus at 99.4% "No" reflects the absence of any major catalysts in the past 30 days—such as health disclosures, scandals, or legal rulings—that could precipitate early departure, underscoring the high procedural barriers to removal via House impeachment and two-thirds Senate conviction. While late-breaking events like a sudden medical emergency or extraordinary political upheaval could theoretically shift odds, historical precedents show presidents rarely exit office abruptly absent overwhelming evidence. No scheduled hearings, votes, or deadlines loom by May 31 to challenge this stability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Volume
$1,291,797End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's position remains firmly entrenched midway through his term ending January 20, 2029, with no active impeachment proceedings in Congress, no invocation of the 25th Amendment, and no public indications of resignation. Trader consensus at 99.4% "No" reflects the absence of any major catalysts in the past 30 days—such as health disclosures, scandals, or legal rulings—that could precipitate early departure, underscoring the high procedural barriers to removal via House impeachment and two-thirds Senate conviction. While late-breaking events like a sudden medical emergency or extraordinary political upheaval could theoretically shift odds, historical precedents show presidents rarely exit office abruptly absent overwhelming evidence. No scheduled hearings, votes, or deadlines loom by May 31 to challenge this stability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,291,797End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's position remains firmly entrenched midway through his term ending January 20, 2029, with no active impeachment proceedings in Congress, no invocation of the 25th Amendment, and no public indications of resignation. Trader consensus at 99.4% "No" reflects the absence of any major catalysts in the past 30 days—such as health disclosures, scandals, or legal rulings—that could precipitate early departure, underscoring the high procedural barriers to removal via House impeachment and two-thirds Senate conviction. While late-breaking events like a sudden medical emergency or extraordinary political upheaval could theoretically shift odds, historical precedents show presidents rarely exit office abruptly absent overwhelming evidence. No scheduled hearings, votes, or deadlines loom by May 31 to challenge this stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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