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Politics·China

Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?

icon for Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?
Politics·China

Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?

$232,629 Vol.

May 17, 2026
Polymarket

$232,629 Vol.

Polymarket

Any CEO of a publicly-listed US company

$6,797 Vol.

100%

Elon Musk

$29,802 Vol.

100%

Marco Rubio

$18,523 Vol.

99%

Tim Cook

$20,921 Vol.

99%

Scott Bessent

$3,243 Vol.

98%

Any of Trump’s sons

$9,001 Vol.

95%

Steve Witkoff

$11,428 Vol.

12%

Jared Kushner

$29,705 Vol.

12%

Mark Zuckerberg

$11,970 Vol.

1%

Melania Trump

$28,377 Vol.

1%

J.D. Vance

$63,059 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present. If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No". The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13, 2026, greeted by Chinese Vice President Han Zheng, leading a high-profile U.S. delegation for the rescheduled two-day summit with Xi Jinping on May 14-15. Confirmed U.S. participants include Secretary of State Marco Rubio and over a dozen CEOs such as Elon Musk of Tesla, Tim Cook of Apple, Larry Fink of BlackRock, Kelly Ortberg of Boeing, and executives from Goldman Sachs, Qualcomm, and Micron, focused on securing trade deals amid AI export controls, Taiwan tensions, and Iran war mediation. Chinese counterparts feature Foreign Minister Wang Yi, with bilateral talks expected to clarify full attendance and outcomes on fentanyl, rare earths, and investment. The CEO-heavy entourage, announced May 11, reflects trader focus on business breakthroughs despite prior summit delays.

Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present.

If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No".

The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$232,629
End Date
May 17, 2026
Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 8:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present. If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No". The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present. If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No". The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13, 2026, greeted by Chinese Vice President Han Zheng, leading a high-profile U.S. delegation for the rescheduled two-day summit with Xi Jinping on May 14-15. Confirmed U.S. participants include Secretary of State Marco Rubio and over a dozen CEOs such as Elon Musk of Tesla, Tim Cook of Apple, Larry Fink of BlackRock, Kelly Ortberg of Boeing, and executives from Goldman Sachs, Qualcomm, and Micron, focused on securing trade deals amid AI export controls, Taiwan tensions, and Iran war mediation. Chinese counterparts feature Foreign Minister Wang Yi, with bilateral talks expected to clarify full attendance and outcomes on fentanyl, rare earths, and investment. The CEO-heavy entourage, announced May 11, reflects trader focus on business breakthroughs despite prior summit delays.

Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present.

If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No".

The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$232,629
End Date
May 17, 2026
Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 8:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present. If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No". The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Any CEO of a publicly-listed US company" at 100%, followed by "Elon Musk" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?" has generated $232.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?" is "Any CEO of a publicly-listed US company" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Elon Musk" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.