President Donald Trump's prolific Truth Social posting—typically multiple times daily—defines trader expectations for this weekly market, with no observed lulls in the past 30 days amid his second-term priorities. Since May 11, recent posts have emphasized U.S. direction concerns, Iran Strait ceasefire violations involving bullets fired at ships, and critiques of political opponents, blending foreign policy signals with domestic rhetoric. This pattern, amplified by late-night activity and shares on X, reflects responses to diplomatic escalations and media coverage. Traders monitor for shifts from scheduled events like potential White House briefings or campaign announcements through May 17, alongside historical tendencies for all-caps attacks, endorsements, and personal notes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTrust
43%
Game
45%
Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire
49%
King
41%
ICE
45%
No cards / All the cards
19%
Epstein
15%
Baby
41%
UFC
43%
Coal
19%
Crypto / Bitcoin
24%
Virus
28%
World Cup
23%
Football
34%
Brazil
19%
$6,623 Vol.
Trust
43%
Game
45%
Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire
49%
King
41%
ICE
45%
No cards / All the cards
19%
Epstein
15%
Baby
41%
UFC
43%
Coal
19%
Crypto / Bitcoin
24%
Virus
28%
World Cup
23%
Football
34%
Brazil
19%
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Market Opened: May 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's prolific Truth Social posting—typically multiple times daily—defines trader expectations for this weekly market, with no observed lulls in the past 30 days amid his second-term priorities. Since May 11, recent posts have emphasized U.S. direction concerns, Iran Strait ceasefire violations involving bullets fired at ships, and critiques of political opponents, blending foreign policy signals with domestic rhetoric. This pattern, amplified by late-night activity and shares on X, reflects responses to diplomatic escalations and media coverage. Traders monitor for shifts from scheduled events like potential White House briefings or campaign announcements through May 17, alongside historical tendencies for all-caps attacks, endorsements, and personal notes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions