Trump's established pattern of high-volume activity on Truth Social, averaging 18 to 19 posts daily through early 2026 with frequent overnight sprees exceeding 50 in a single session, anchors trader consensus on the 200+ range for the May 15-22 window at 42 percent. This positioning reflects ongoing political engagement, including commentary on policy and endorsements, that sustains elevated output even during routine periods. Recent data from mid-May shows continued momentum through early-morning and evening clusters, aligning with historical baselines rather than signaling any slowdown. The 180-199 bracket at 21.9 percent captures scenarios of slightly moderated pace amid scheduled events, while lower buckets price in the low probability of unusual restraint given the platform's role in direct messaging.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDonald Trump # Truth Social posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
200+ 45%
160-179 16%
140-159 14%
180-199 11.9%
$18,853 Vol.
$18,853 Vol.
May 22, 2026
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
5%
120-139
11%
140-159
14%
160-179
16%
180-199
12%
200+
45%
200+ 45%
160-179 16%
140-159 14%
180-199 11.9%
$18,853 Vol.
$18,853 Vol.
May 22, 2026
60-79
$1,316 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$3,248 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$891 Vol.
5%
120-139
$672 Vol.
11%
140-159
$413 Vol.
14%
160-179
$274 Vol.
16%
180-199
$487 Vol.
12%
200+
$677 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established pattern of high-volume activity on Truth Social, averaging 18 to 19 posts daily through early 2026 with frequent overnight sprees exceeding 50 in a single session, anchors trader consensus on the 200+ range for the May 15-22 window at 42 percent. This positioning reflects ongoing political engagement, including commentary on policy and endorsements, that sustains elevated output even during routine periods. Recent data from mid-May shows continued momentum through early-morning and evening clusters, aligning with historical baselines rather than signaling any slowdown. The 180-199 bracket at 21.9 percent captures scenarios of slightly moderated pace amid scheduled events, while lower buckets price in the low probability of unusual restraint given the platform's role in direct messaging.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$18,853End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established pattern of high-volume activity on Truth Social, averaging 18 to 19 posts daily through early 2026 with frequent overnight sprees exceeding 50 in a single session, anchors trader consensus on the 200+ range for the May 15-22 window at 42 percent. This positioning reflects ongoing political engagement, including commentary on policy and endorsements, that sustains elevated output even during routine periods. Recent data from mid-May shows continued momentum through early-morning and evening clusters, aligning with historical baselines rather than signaling any slowdown. The 180-199 bracket at 21.9 percent captures scenarios of slightly moderated pace amid scheduled events, while lower buckets price in the low probability of unusual restraint given the platform's role in direct messaging.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$18,853End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's established pattern of high-volume activity on Truth Social, averaging 18 to 19 posts daily through early 2026 with frequent overnight sprees exceeding 50 in a single session, anchors trader consensus on the 200+ range for the May 15-22 window at 42 percent. This positioning reflects ongoing political engagement, including commentary on policy and endorsements, that sustains elevated output even during routine periods. Recent data from mid-May shows continued momentum through early-morning and evening clusters, aligning with historical baselines rather than signaling any slowdown. The 180-199 bracket at 21.9 percent captures scenarios of slightly moderated pace amid scheduled events, while lower buckets price in the low probability of unusual restraint given the platform's role in direct messaging.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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