Trader sentiment for Donald Trump’s Truth Social activity this week centers on his established posting patterns amid a fluid news cycle. The narrow gap between the leading 160-179 and 140-159 ranges shows traders weighing his baseline daily output against variable drivers such as policy announcements, media appearances, and political events that can accelerate or dampen engagement. Historical volume in comparable non-election weeks supports these central bins, while lower-probability outcomes above 180 or below 140 hinge on whether sudden developments prompt sustained commentary or if travel and schedule constraints reduce frequency. Upcoming milestones within the resolution window could still shift consensus if they trigger measurable changes in activity levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDonald Trump # Truth Social posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
160-179 43%
140-159 26%
120-139 22%
180-199 15.1%
$82,972 Vol.
$82,972 Vol.
May 19, 2026
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
22%
140-159
26%
160-179
35%
180-199
15%
200+
8%
160-179 43%
140-159 26%
120-139 22%
180-199 15.1%
$82,972 Vol.
$82,972 Vol.
May 19, 2026
80-99
$12,152 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$4,254 Vol.
1%
120-139
$4,272 Vol.
22%
140-159
$3,545 Vol.
26%
160-179
$4,175 Vol.
35%
180-199
$3,770 Vol.
15%
200+
$6,447 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment for Donald Trump’s Truth Social activity this week centers on his established posting patterns amid a fluid news cycle. The narrow gap between the leading 160-179 and 140-159 ranges shows traders weighing his baseline daily output against variable drivers such as policy announcements, media appearances, and political events that can accelerate or dampen engagement. Historical volume in comparable non-election weeks supports these central bins, while lower-probability outcomes above 180 or below 140 hinge on whether sudden developments prompt sustained commentary or if travel and schedule constraints reduce frequency. Upcoming milestones within the resolution window could still shift consensus if they trigger measurable changes in activity levels.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 9, 2026, 4:27 AM ET
Volume
$82,972End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 4:27 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment for Donald Trump’s Truth Social activity this week centers on his established posting patterns amid a fluid news cycle. The narrow gap between the leading 160-179 and 140-159 ranges shows traders weighing his baseline daily output against variable drivers such as policy announcements, media appearances, and political events that can accelerate or dampen engagement. Historical volume in comparable non-election weeks supports these central bins, while lower-probability outcomes above 180 or below 140 hinge on whether sudden developments prompt sustained commentary or if travel and schedule constraints reduce frequency. Upcoming milestones within the resolution window could still shift consensus if they trigger measurable changes in activity levels.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$82,972End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 4:27 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Donald Trump’s Truth Social activity this week centers on his established posting patterns amid a fluid news cycle. The narrow gap between the leading 160-179 and 140-159 ranges shows traders weighing his baseline daily output against variable drivers such as policy announcements, media appearances, and political events that can accelerate or dampen engagement. Historical volume in comparable non-election weeks supports these central bins, while lower-probability outcomes above 180 or below 140 hinge on whether sudden developments prompt sustained commentary or if travel and schedule constraints reduce frequency. Upcoming milestones within the resolution window could still shift consensus if they trigger measurable changes in activity levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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