President Trump is scheduled for an exclusive interview with Bret Baier on Fox News' Special Report, airing May 16 live from the Middle East following his recent diplomatic trip, including stops in Abu Dhabi. The session anticipates focus on foreign policy priorities such as Iran ceasefire negotiations—where Baier reported Trump's optimism last week on a fast-moving memorandum of understanding—alongside Syria, Russia-Ukraine tensions, China trade, and Abraham Accords progress. Recent phone discussions between Baier and Trump highlighted bullish prospects for de-escalation deals, shaping trader focus on Trump's characteristic repetitions of terms like "deal" and mentions of Biden or adversaries. Markets resolve based on full audio by May 17, with no major shifts in the past 30 days beyond the trip announcement and Iran updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
May 15, 2026
COVID / Pandemic
45%
Biden
58%
Obama
45%
Inflation
45%
My Father / Fred
43%
Chip / Ship
44%
Jensen
44%
Child
44%
Moon
43%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
74%
North Korea / Kim Jong Un
44%
Taiwan
39%
JD / Vance
44%
Dumbocrat
44%
Nuclear
76%
Eight Wars / Eighth War
44%
See what happens
44%
Strait / Hormuz
53%
Elon / Jensen / Tim
44%
Iran
74%
Ballroom
44%
Friend
43%
-No Qualifying Event-
1%
$130 Vol.
COVID / Pandemic
$0 Vol.
45%
Biden
$0 Vol.
58%
Obama
$0 Vol.
45%
Inflation
$0 Vol.
45%
My Father / Fred
$0 Vol.
43%
Chip / Ship
$0 Vol.
44%
Jensen
$0 Vol.
44%
Child
$0 Vol.
44%
Moon
$0 Vol.
43%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
$0 Vol.
74%
North Korea / Kim Jong Un
$1 Vol.
44%
Taiwan
$0 Vol.
39%
JD / Vance
$0 Vol.
44%
Dumbocrat
$1 Vol.
44%
Nuclear
$108 Vol.
76%
Eight Wars / Eighth War
$0 Vol.
44%
See what happens
$0 Vol.
44%
Strait / Hormuz
$0 Vol.
53%
Elon / Jensen / Tim
$0 Vol.
44%
Iran
$47 Vol.
74%
Ballroom
$0 Vol.
44%
Friend
$0 Vol.
43%
-No Qualifying Event-
$76 Vol.
1%
An interview of Donald Trump with Bret Baier is scheduled to air on May 15, 2026, at 7 PM ET. ((https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the interview by Bret Baier scheduled for May 15, 2026. (See: https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official audio/video of the event.President Trump is scheduled for an exclusive interview with Bret Baier on Fox News' Special Report, airing May 16 live from the Middle East following his recent diplomatic trip, including stops in Abu Dhabi. The session anticipates focus on foreign policy priorities such as Iran ceasefire negotiations—where Baier reported Trump's optimism last week on a fast-moving memorandum of understanding—alongside Syria, Russia-Ukraine tensions, China trade, and Abraham Accords progress. Recent phone discussions between Baier and Trump highlighted bullish prospects for de-escalation deals, shaping trader focus on Trump's characteristic repetitions of terms like "deal" and mentions of Biden or adversaries. Markets resolve based on full audio by May 17, with no major shifts in the past 30 days beyond the trip announcement and Iran updates.
An interview of Donald Trump with Bret Baier is scheduled to air on May 15, 2026, at 7 PM ET. ((https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the interview by Bret Baier scheduled for May 15, 2026. (See: https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official audio/video of the event.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the interview by Bret Baier scheduled for May 15, 2026. (See: https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official audio/video of the event.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Volume
$130End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...An interview of Donald Trump with Bret Baier is scheduled to air on May 15, 2026, at 7 PM ET. ((https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the interview by Bret Baier scheduled for May 15, 2026. (See: https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official audio/video of the event.President Trump is scheduled for an exclusive interview with Bret Baier on Fox News' Special Report, airing May 16 live from the Middle East following his recent diplomatic trip, including stops in Abu Dhabi. The session anticipates focus on foreign policy priorities such as Iran ceasefire negotiations—where Baier reported Trump's optimism last week on a fast-moving memorandum of understanding—alongside Syria, Russia-Ukraine tensions, China trade, and Abraham Accords progress. Recent phone discussions between Baier and Trump highlighted bullish prospects for de-escalation deals, shaping trader focus on Trump's characteristic repetitions of terms like "deal" and mentions of Biden or adversaries. Markets resolve based on full audio by May 17, with no major shifts in the past 30 days beyond the trip announcement and Iran updates.
An interview of Donald Trump with Bret Baier is scheduled to air on May 15, 2026, at 7 PM ET. ((https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the interview by Bret Baier scheduled for May 15, 2026. (See: https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official audio/video of the event.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the interview by Bret Baier scheduled for May 15, 2026. (See: https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official audio/video of the event.
Volume
$130End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump is scheduled for an exclusive interview with Bret Baier on Fox News' Special Report, airing May 16 live from the Middle East following his recent diplomatic trip, including stops in Abu Dhabi. The session anticipates focus on foreign policy priorities such as Iran ceasefire negotiations—where Baier reported Trump's optimism last week on a fast-moving memorandum of understanding—alongside Syria, Russia-Ukraine tensions, China trade, and Abraham Accords progress. Recent phone discussions between Baier and Trump highlighted bullish prospects for de-escalation deals, shaping trader focus on Trump's characteristic repetitions of terms like "deal" and mentions of Biden or adversaries. Markets resolve based on full audio by May 17, with no major shifts in the past 30 days beyond the trip announcement and Iran updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions