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icon for Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

icon for Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

$39,308 Vol.

May 31, 2026
Polymarket

$39,308 Vol.

Polymarket

May 7

$20,843 Vol.

1%

May 8

$1,294 Vol.

1%

May 9

$2,793 Vol.

1%

May 10

$740 Vol.

1%

May 11

$2,981 Vol.

<1%

May 12

$862 Vol.

1%

May 13

$2,113 Vol.

1%

May 14

$1,689 Vol.

3%

May 15

$0 Vol.

19%

May 16

$60 Vol.

18%

May 17

$20 Vol.

16%

May 18

$50 Vol.

54%

May 19

$0 Vol.

24%

May 20

$0 Vol.

24%

May 21

$0 Vol.

24%

May 22

$0 Vol.

35%

May 23

$0 Vol.

42%

May 24

$0 Vol.

36%

May 25

$0 Vol.

43%

May 26

$0 Vol.

36%

May 27

$0 Vol.

44%

May 28

$0 Vol.

37%

May 29

$0 Vol.

37%

May 30

$0 Vol.

45%

May 31

$0 Vol.

45%

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the specified calendar date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal executive orders will qualify; other executive actions will not qualify. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.President Trump signed his most recent executive order, EO 14404 imposing sanctions on Cuban repression actors, on May 1, 2026, followed by publication in the Federal Register on May 7; no further orders have been issued in the intervening 13 days as of May 14. This pause follows April 30 actions establishing TrumpIRA.gov to expand retirement savings access and promoting efficiency in federal contracting. With 33 executive orders in 2026 and 259 total in his second term through mid-May, the administration's pace underscores frequent use of executive action for swift policy implementation amid congressional gridlock. Traders monitor White House announcements and Federal Register updates closely, as unannounced priorities in immigration, economy, or foreign policy could prompt near-term signings, though patterns show variability week-to-week.

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the specified calendar date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only formal executive orders will qualify; other executive actions will not qualify.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.

In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.
Volume
$39,308
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the specified calendar date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal executive orders will qualify; other executive actions will not qualify. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Outcome proposal

Final dispute

Final

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the specified calendar date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal executive orders will qualify; other executive actions will not qualify. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.President Trump signed his most recent executive order, EO 14404 imposing sanctions on Cuban repression actors, on May 1, 2026, followed by publication in the Federal Register on May 7; no further orders have been issued in the intervening 13 days as of May 14. This pause follows April 30 actions establishing TrumpIRA.gov to expand retirement savings access and promoting efficiency in federal contracting. With 33 executive orders in 2026 and 259 total in his second term through mid-May, the administration's pace underscores frequent use of executive action for swift policy implementation amid congressional gridlock. Traders monitor White House announcements and Federal Register updates closely, as unannounced priorities in immigration, economy, or foreign policy could prompt near-term signings, though patterns show variability week-to-week.

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the specified calendar date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only formal executive orders will qualify; other executive actions will not qualify.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.

In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.
Volume
$39,308
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the specified calendar date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal executive orders will qualify; other executive actions will not qualify. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Outcome proposal

Final dispute

Final

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump sign an executive order on...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 31 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "May 1" at 100%, followed by "May 18" at 54%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump sign an executive order on...?" has generated $39.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump sign an executive order on...?," browse the 31 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Trump sign an executive order on...?" is "May 1" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "May 18" at 54%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump sign an executive order on...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.